Match dossier

Alfreton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity Predictions

England · Non League Premier - Northern · Tue, 11 Aug 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Alfreton Town

11th in table · 23 pts

LDDWW

Tue, 11 Aug 202619:45

2 : 1

Full timeTip: Under 3.5 · 1.29

Gainsborough Trinity

5th in table · 29 pts

WWWLD

Pre-match win probability

36.7%Alfreton Town26%Draw37.3%Gainsborough Trinity

Our prediction

Under 3.5 · Alfreton Town

Alfreton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity listed tip from the board.

Odds1.29
Confidence77.52%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alfreton Town 36.7%
  • Draw 26%
  • Gainsborough Trinity 37.3%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.2978%Won

Season statistics

Non League Premier - Northern · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Alfreton TownGainsborough Trinity
Goals scored (avg)
1.22.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.5
Wins
79
Played
1616

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Alfreton Town5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 31 OctAlfreton Town2 – 1AFC EmleyW
  • 24 OctMickleover Sports1 – 2Alfreton TownW
  • 17 OctAlfreton Town1 – 1Warrington TownD
  • 13 OctAshton United0 – 0Alfreton TownD
  • 10 OctAlfreton Town2 – 3BuryL
  • 6 OctAlfreton Town1 – 0United of ManchesterW
  • 3 OctRedcar Athletic3 – 1Alfreton TownL
  • 29 SeptAlfreton Town1 – 0Guiseley AFCW
  • 26 SeptAlfreton Town2 – 1Shifnal Town FCW
  • 12 SeptBamber Bridge1 – 0Alfreton TownL
Gainsborough Trinity6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 31 OctGainsborough Trinity1 – 1Bamber BridgeD
  • 27 OctGainsborough Trinity0 – 3Curzon AshtonL
  • 24 OctWarrington Town1 – 2Gainsborough TrinityW
  • 17 OctGainsborough Trinity4 – 0Hyde UnitedW
  • 13 OctGainsborough Trinity3 – 1Ilkeston TownW
  • 10 OctAFC Emley1 – 2Gainsborough TrinityW
  • 6 OctWhitby Town2 – 6Gainsborough TrinityW
  • 3 OctGainsborough Trinity2 – 3Anstey NomadsL
  • 26 SeptBury3 – 3Gainsborough TrinityD
  • 22 SeptGainsborough Trinity3 – 0LeamingtonW
H2H
Head to headAlfreton Town 2W · 1D · Gainsborough Trinity 0W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 18 NovGainsborough Trinity1 – 2Alfreton Town
  • 30 NovAlfreton Town4 – 1Gainsborough Trinity
  • 26 NovGainsborough Trinity0 – 0Alfreton Town

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Alfreton Town2.45
Draw3.45
Gainsborough Trinity2.41

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Alfreton Town

Chance36.7%
Odds2.45

Draw

Chance26%
Odds3.45

Gainsborough Trinity

Chance37.3%
Odds2.41

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Under 3.5 at 1.29

Alfreton TownGainsborough Trinity
Recent form46%54%
Attack32%68%
Defence56%44%
Goals model32%68%
Head-to-head83%17%
Overall50%50%

Trends

Trend · Non League Premier - Northern

Alfreton Town scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Non League Premier - Northern

Alfreton Town conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Non League Premier - Northern

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Non League Premier - Northern

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Alfreton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity: prediction & preview

England · Non League Premier - Northern · Tue, 11 Aug 2026

Alfreton Town meet Gainsborough Trinity in the England, Non League Premier - Northern on 11 August 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Gainsborough Trinity at 2.41. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alfreton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Alfreton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 11 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Alfreton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Gainsborough Trinity is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.41. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.