Match dossier

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Predictions

England · Championship · Sat, 19 Sept 2026 · 15:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 19 Sept 2026

Birmingham

2nd in table · 26 pts

WWLWW

Sat, 19 Sept 202615:00

2 : 2

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.40

Middlesbrough

1st in table · 28 pts

WWDWW

Pre-match win probability

32.3%Birmingham27%Draw40.6%Middlesbrough

Our prediction

X2 · Birmingham

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough listed tip from the board.

Odds1.40
Confidence71.43%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Birmingham 32.3%
  • Draw 27%
  • Middlesbrough 40.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.4071%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.5266%Won
  • cards ouOver 2.5Odds 1.5764%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.5128%Lost

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BirminghamMiddlesbrough
Goals scored (avg)
2.12.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.4
Wins
78
Played
1413

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Birmingham6W 1D 2L in last 9
  • 3 NovBirmingham3 – 0MillwallW
  • 31 OctLincoln1 – 3BirminghamW
  • 24 OctCardiff1 – 0BirminghamL
  • 17 OctBirmingham3 – 0QPRW
  • 13 OctBirmingham4 – 0PrestonW
  • 10 OctWest Brom0 – 1BirminghamW
  • 12 SeptDerby1 – 2BirminghamW
  • 9 SeptNorwich2 – 1BirminghamL
  • 6 SeptBirmingham2 – 2WolvesD
Middlesbrough6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctMiddlesbrough3 – 0CharltonW
  • 23 OctBolton1 – 5MiddlesbroughW
  • 17 OctMiddlesbrough2 – 2CardiffD
  • 13 OctStoke City2 – 3MiddlesbroughW
  • 10 OctMiddlesbrough1 – 0WolvesW
  • 15 SeptMiddlesbrough2 – 2MillwallD
  • 12 SeptMiddlesbrough4 – 3NorwichW
  • 8 SeptCrystal Palace3 – 0MiddlesbroughL
  • 5 SeptQPR0 – 1MiddlesbroughW
H2H
Head to headBirmingham 2W · 0D · Middlesbrough 7W · 2.1 goals a game
  • 2 MarBirmingham1 – 3Middlesbrough
  • 8 NovMiddlesbrough2 – 1Birmingham
  • 12 MarBirmingham0 – 1Middlesbrough
  • 21 OctMiddlesbrough1 – 0Birmingham
  • 2 JanBirmingham1 – 3Middlesbrough
  • 5 OctMiddlesbrough1 – 0Birmingham
  • 15 MarBirmingham0 – 2Middlesbrough
  • 30 OctMiddlesbrough0 – 2Birmingham
  • 16 JanMiddlesbrough0 – 1Birmingham

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Birmingham2.89
Draw3.46
Middlesbrough2.3

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Birmingham

Chance32.3%
Odds2.89

Draw

Chance27%
Odds3.46

Middlesbrough

Chance40.6%
Odds2.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.40

BirminghamMiddlesbrough
Recent form49%51%
Attack48%52%
Defence58%42%
Goals model48%52%
Head-to-head22%78%
Overall44%56%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Birmingham scored 2.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Birmingham conceded 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

Birmingham meet Middlesbrough in the England, Championship on 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Middlesbrough at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Birmingham vs Middlesbrough match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 19 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Birmingham vs Middlesbrough?

Middlesbrough is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.