Match dossier

West Ham vs Derby Predictions

England · Championship · Sat, 5 Sept 2026 · 15:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 5 Sept 2026

West Ham

8th in table · 22 pts

DWWLL

Sat, 5 Sept 202615:00

3 : 0

Full timeTip: Over 6.5 · 1.78

Derby

23rd in table · 7 pts

DLLDL

Pre-match win probability

69.4%West Ham19.1%Draw11.5%Derby

Our prediction

Over 6.5 · West Ham

West Ham vs Derby listed tip from the board.

Odds1.78
Confidence56.18%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • West Ham 69.4%
  • Draw 19.1%
  • Derby 11.5%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.7856%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.9152%Lost

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

West HamDerby
Goals scored (avg)
2.70.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.7
Wins
61
Played
1313

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

West Ham4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctWest Ham1 – 3West BromL
  • 24 OctWest Ham2 – 3SouthamptonL
  • 17 OctSwansea0 – 1West HamW
  • 14 OctLincoln0 – 6West HamW
  • 9 OctWest Ham1 – 1QPRD
  • 19 SeptMillwall2 – 2West HamD
  • 15 SeptWest Ham2 – 3FulhamL
  • 11 SeptWest Ham6 – 0WrexhamW
  • 8 SeptBolton2 – 3West HamW
Derby1W 3D 5L in last 9
  • 31 OctMillwall4 – 1DerbyL
  • 24 OctSheffield Utd1 – 1DerbyD
  • 17 OctDerby0 – 1Stoke CityL
  • 14 OctQPR4 – 1DerbyL
  • 10 OctDerby1 – 1WrexhamD
  • 19 SeptBurnley1 – 1DerbyD
  • 12 SeptDerby1 – 2BirminghamL
  • 9 SeptDerby0 – 1West BromL
  • 1 SeptPortsmouth0 – 2DerbyW
H2H
Head to headWest Ham 2W · 0D · Derby 1W · 3 goals a game
  • 30 JanDerby0 – 2West Ham
  • 31 DecDerby2 – 1West Ham
  • 26 NovWest Ham3 – 1Derby

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

West Ham1.35
Draw4.9
Derby8.15

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

West Ham

Chance69.4%
Odds1.35

Draw

Chance19.1%
Odds4.9

Derby

Chance11.5%
Odds8.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 6.5 at 1.78

West HamDerby
Recent form70%30%
Attack75%25%
Defence52%48%
Goals model75%25%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall86%14%

Trends

Trend · Championship

West Ham scored 2.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

West Ham conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Championship

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

West Ham vs Derby: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

West Ham meet Derby in the England, Championship on 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is West Ham at 1.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 69.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

West Ham vs Derby FAQs

4 questions

What time is the West Ham vs Derby match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for West Ham vs Derby?

West Ham is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 69.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.