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Watford vs Stoke City Predictions

England · Championship · Sat, 12 Sept 2026 · 15:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 12 Sept 2026

Watford

21st in table · 11 pts

LLWLL

Sat, 12 Sept 202615:00

1 : 2

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.36

Stoke City

7th in table · 23 pts

WLWDW

Pre-match win probability

39.7%Watford28.4%Draw31.9%Stoke City

Our prediction

1X · Watford

Watford vs Stoke City listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence73.53%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Watford 39.7%
  • Draw 28.4%
  • Stoke City 31.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.3674%Lost
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6660%Won
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.6760%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.8635%Lost

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

WatfordStoke City
Goals scored (avg)
0.81.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
20.7
Wins
37
Played
1313

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Watford2W 0D 7L in last 9
  • 31 OctNorwich3 – 2WatfordL
  • 24 OctWolves1 – 0WatfordL
  • 17 OctWatford2 – 0CharltonW
  • 13 OctCardiff5 – 1WatfordL
  • 10 OctWatford0 – 4BurnleyL
  • 18 SeptBristol City1 – 0WatfordL
  • 8 SeptWatford2 – 1PrestonW
  • 5 SeptWest Brom1 – 0WatfordL
  • 1 SeptSwansea2 – 0WatfordL
Stoke City6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctStoke City2 – 0PrestonW
  • 24 OctStoke City0 – 0Bristol CityD
  • 17 OctDerby0 – 1Stoke CityW
  • 13 OctStoke City2 – 3MiddlesbroughL
  • 10 OctBolton1 – 2Stoke CityW
  • 19 SeptStoke City2 – 1Sheffield UtdW
  • 8 SeptCardiff1 – 1Stoke CityD
  • 5 SeptStoke City4 – 0CharltonW
  • 1 SeptStoke City1 – 0NorwichW
H2H
Head to headWatford 4W · 2D · Stoke City 3W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 14 MarStoke City3 – 1Watford
  • 20 DecWatford1 – 0Stoke City
  • 1 MarStoke City0 – 0Watford
  • 17 AugWatford3 – 0Stoke City
  • 29 DecWatford1 – 1Stoke City
  • 19 AugStoke City1 – 0Watford
  • 8 MayWatford2 – 0Stoke City
  • 2 OctStoke City0 – 4Watford
  • 21 SeptWatford1 – 3Stoke City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Watford2.36
Draw3.3
Stoke City2.94

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Watford

Chance39.7%
Odds2.36

Draw

Chance28.4%
Odds3.3

Stoke City

Chance31.9%
Odds2.94

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.36

WatfordStoke City
Recent form23%77%
Attack32%68%
Defence30%70%
Goals model32%68%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall55%45%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Watford scored 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Watford conceded 2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Watford vs Stoke City: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Watford meet Stoke City in the England, Championship on 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Watford at 2.36. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Watford vs Stoke City FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Watford vs Stoke City match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Watford vs Stoke City?

Watford is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.36. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.