Match dossier

Watford vs Burnley Predictions

England · Championship · Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 10 Oct 2026

Watford

20th in table · 14 pts

LWLLW

Sat, 10 Oct 202615:00

0 : 4

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.39

Burnley

22nd in table · 10 pts

DLLDD

Pre-match win probability

31.5%Watford27%Draw41.5%Burnley

Our prediction

X2 · Watford

Watford vs Burnley listed tip from the board.

Odds1.39
Confidence71.94%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Watford 31.5%
  • Draw 27%
  • Burnley 41.5%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.3972%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 4.0025%Lost
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.8355%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.8056%Lost

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

WatfordBurnley
Goals scored (avg)
11
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.8
Wins
41
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Watford3W 0D 6L in last 9
  • 3 NovWatford1 – 0LincolnW
  • 31 OctNorwich3 – 2WatfordL
  • 24 OctWolves1 – 0WatfordL
  • 17 OctWatford2 – 0CharltonW
  • 13 OctCardiff5 – 1WatfordL
  • 18 SeptBristol City1 – 0WatfordL
  • 12 SeptWatford1 – 2Stoke CityL
  • 8 SeptWatford2 – 1PrestonW
  • 5 SeptWest Brom1 – 0WatfordL
Burnley0W 5D 4L in last 9
  • 3 NovQPR1 – 1BurnleyD
  • 31 OctBurnley0 – 0PortsmouthD
  • 24 OctLincoln4 – 1BurnleyL
  • 16 OctBurnley1 – 2WolvesL
  • 13 OctBurnley2 – 2CharltonD
  • 19 SeptBurnley1 – 1DerbyD
  • 12 SeptSwansea3 – 1BurnleyL
  • 8 SeptWrexham1 – 1BurnleyD
  • 5 SeptBurnley1 – 2Bristol CityL
H2H
Head to headWatford 1W · 3D · Burnley 5W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 18 AprWatford1 – 2Burnley
  • 21 DecBurnley2 – 1Watford
  • 14 FebBurnley1 – 1Watford
  • 12 AugWatford1 – 0Burnley
  • 30 AprWatford1 – 2Burnley
  • 5 FebBurnley0 – 0Watford
  • 25 JunBurnley1 – 0Watford
  • 23 NovWatford0 – 3Burnley
  • 19 JanWatford0 – 0Burnley

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Watford2.97
Draw3.46
Burnley2.25

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Watford

Chance31.5%
Odds2.97

Draw

Chance27%
Odds3.46

Burnley

Chance41.5%
Odds2.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.39

WatfordBurnley
Recent form64%36%
Attack50%50%
Defence54%46%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head28%72%
Overall43%57%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Watford scored 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Watford conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Watford vs Burnley: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Watford meet Burnley in the England, Championship on 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Burnley at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Watford vs Burnley FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Watford vs Burnley match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Watford vs Burnley?

Burnley is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.