Match dossier

VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 Predictions

Germany · DFB Pokal · Tue, 27 Oct 2026 · 18:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Germany · DFB PokalTue, 27 Oct 2026

VfL Bochum

WLLDW

Tue, 27 Oct 202618:00

2 : 0

Full timeTip: Over 2.5 · 1.55

FSV Mainz 05

WLWLL

Pre-match win probability

20.8%VfL Bochum23.6%Draw55.6%FSV Mainz 05

Our prediction

Over 2.5 · VfL Bochum

VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 listed tip from the board.

Odds1.55
Confidence64.52%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • VfL Bochum 20.8%
  • Draw 23.6%
  • FSV Mainz 05 55.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.5565%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 5.6018%Lost
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.3674%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.2580%Lost

Season statistics

DFB Pokal · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

VfL BochumFSV Mainz 05
Goals scored (avg)
1.22.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

VfL Bochum3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 30 OctEnergie Cottbus1 – 2VfL BochumW
  • 23 OctVfL Bochum1 – 1VfL WolfsburgD
  • 17 Oct1. FC Kaiserslautern2 – 0VfL BochumL
  • 11 OctVfL Bochum0 – 1Arminia BielefeldL
  • 2 OctVfL Bochum4 – 1VfL OsnabrückW
  • 20 SeptHannover 962 – 1VfL BochumL
  • 12 SeptVfL Bochum1 – 1SpVgg Greuther FürthD
  • 5 SeptDynamo Dresden1 – 2VfL BochumW
  • 28 AugVfL Bochum0 – 1VfL OsnabrückL
FSV Mainz 054W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 30 OctSV Elversberg4 – 1FSV Mainz 05L
  • 24 OctFSV Mainz 052 – 3Werder BremenL
  • 17 OctFC Schalke 040 – 1FSV Mainz 05W
  • 10 OctFSV Mainz 053 – 4Bayer LeverkusenL
  • 3 OctWaldhof Mannheim0 – 3FSV Mainz 05W
  • 19 SeptBorussia Mönchengladbach3 – 4FSV Mainz 05W
  • 12 SeptFSV Mainz 051 – 3Eintracht FrankfurtL
  • 6 SeptHamburger SV0 – 5FSV Mainz 05W
  • 29 AugFSV Mainz 050 – 0SC Paderborn 07D
H2H
Head to headVfL Bochum 2W · 1D · FSV Mainz 05 6W · 3.3 goals a game
  • 10 MayVfL Bochum1 – 4FSV Mainz 05
  • 11 JanFSV Mainz 052 – 0VfL Bochum
  • 16 MarFSV Mainz 052 – 0Vfl Bochum
  • 27 OctVfl Bochum2 – 2FSV Mainz 05
  • 28 JanFSV Mainz 055 – 2Vfl Bochum
  • 6 AugVfl Bochum1 – 2FSV Mainz 05
  • 18 JanVfl Bochum3 – 1FSV Mainz 05
  • 15 JanFSV Mainz 051 – 0Vfl Bochum
  • 21 AugVfl Bochum2 – 0FSV Mainz 05

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

VfL Bochum4.5
Draw3.96
FSV Mainz 051.68

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

VfL Bochum

Chance20.8%
Odds4.5

Draw

Chance23.6%
Odds3.96

FSV Mainz 05

Chance55.6%
Odds1.68

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 2.5 at 1.55

VfL BochumFSV Mainz 05
Recent form46%54%
Attack35%65%
Defence62%38%
Goals model35%65%
Head-to-head28%72%
Overall27%73%

Trends

Trend · DFB Pokal

VfL Bochum scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · DFB Pokal

VfL Bochum conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · DFB Pokal

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · DFB Pokal

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of those 9.

VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05: prediction & preview

Germany · DFB Pokal · Tue, 27 Oct 2026

VfL Bochum meet FSV Mainz 05 in the Germany, DFB Pokal on 27 October 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FSV Mainz 05 at 1.68. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 FAQs

4 questions

What time is the VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 match?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 27 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05?

FSV Mainz 05 is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.68. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.