Match dossier

UPDF vs Maroons Predictions

Uganda · Premier League · Thu, 17 Sept 2026 · 15:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Uganda · Premier LeagueThu, 17 Sept 2026

UPDF

14th in table · 8 pts

WLLLL

Thu, 17 Sept 202615:00

1 : 0

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.24

Maroons

11th in table · 11 pts

WDWDL

Pre-match win probability

42.3%UPDF30.6%Draw27.1%Maroons

Our prediction

1X · UPDF

UPDF vs Maroons listed tip from the board.

Odds1.24
Confidence80.65%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • UPDF 42.3%
  • Draw 30.6%
  • Maroons 27.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2481%Won

Season statistics

Premier League · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

UPDFMaroons
Goals scored (avg)
0.41.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.3
Wins
23
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

UPDF1W 2D 5L in last 8
  • 3 NovNEC1 – 0UPDFL
  • 31 OctUPDF0 – 1KitaraL
  • 27 OctUPDF0 – 1URAL
  • 18 OctUPDF0 – 2BULL
  • 15 OctExpress1 – 2UPDFW
  • 10 SeptPolice0 – 0UPDFD
  • 1 SeptEntebbe UPPC2 – 1UPDFL
  • 29 AugUPDF0 – 0KatakaD
Maroons3W 2D 3L in last 8
  • 4 NovKCCA3 – 0MaroonsL
  • 28 OctEntebbe UPPC0 – 0MaroonsD
  • 20 OctMaroons4 – 1KatakaW
  • 11 OctVipers1 – 1MaroonsD
  • 7 OctMaroons3 – 0LugaziW
  • 8 SeptMaroons1 – 2Blacks PowerL
  • 2 SeptNtugasaze1 – 3MaroonsW
  • 30 AugMaroons1 – 2URAL
H2H
Head to headUPDF 2W · 4D · Maroons 3W · 2 goals a game
  • 14 MarMaroons0 – 0UPDF
  • 15 OctUPDF1 – 2Maroons
  • 16 AprUPDF2 – 1Maroons
  • 15 SeptMaroons1 – 1UPDF
  • 14 MayUPDF2 – 1Maroons
  • 5 JanMaroons4 – 2UPDF
  • 25 AprMaroons1 – 0UPDF
  • 22 NovUPDF0 – 0Maroons
  • 30 MarUPDF0 – 0Maroons

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

UPDF2.13
Draw2.95
Maroons3.33

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

UPDF

Chance42.3%
Odds2.13

Draw

Chance30.6%
Odds2.95

Maroons

Chance27.1%
Odds3.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.24

UPDFMaroons
Recent form31%69%
Attack20%80%
Defence54%46%
Goals model20%80%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall61%39%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

UPDF scored 0.4 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Premier League

UPDF conceded 1 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 6 of those 8.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 8.

UPDF vs Maroons: prediction & preview

Uganda · Premier League · Thu, 17 Sept 2026

UPDF meet Maroons in the Uganda, Premier League on 17 September 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is UPDF at 2.13. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

UPDF vs Maroons FAQs

4 questions

What time is the UPDF vs Maroons match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 17 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for UPDF vs Maroons?

UPDF is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.13. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.