Match dossier

Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad Predictions

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 15 Oct 2026 · 17:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Union St. Gilloise

6th in table · 7 pts

DWWWW

Thu, 15 Oct 202617:45

1 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 6.5 · 3.10

Real Sociedad

14th in table · 4 pts

WWWWL

Pre-match win probability

39.6%Union St. Gilloise26.3%Draw34.1%Real Sociedad

Our prediction

Over 6.5 · Union St. Gilloise

Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad listed tip from the board.

Odds3.10
Confidence32.26%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Union St. Gilloise 39.6%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Real Sociedad 34.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.1032%Lost
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.7358%Lost
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.8535%Lost

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Union St. GilloiseReal Sociedad
Goals scored (avg)
3.12.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.71.7
Wins
21
Played
33

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Union St. Gilloise8W 1D 0L in last 9
  • 31 OctSK Beveren1 – 2Union St. GilloiseW
  • 25 OctUnion St. Gilloise5 – 2Cercle BruggeW
  • 22 OctUnion St. Gilloise4 – 0Hapoel Beer ShevaW
  • 18 OctUnion St. Gilloise3 – 0NijlenW
  • 11 OctUnion St. Gilloise1 – 1OH LeuvenD
  • 20 SeptAntwerp0 – 2Union St. GilloiseW
  • 17 SeptPlzen0 – 3Union St. GilloiseW
  • 12 SeptUnion St. Gilloise5 – 0Lommel UnitedW
  • 5 SeptCharleroi2 – 3Union St. GilloiseW
Real Sociedad5W 0D 4L in last 9
  • 1 NovAthletic Club2 – 1Real SociedadL
  • 25 OctReal Sociedad2 – 1LevanteW
  • 22 OctLillestrom0 – 6Real SociedadW
  • 18 OctMalaga2 – 5Real SociedadW
  • 11 OctReal Sociedad3 – 2Deportivo La CorunaW
  • 2 OctReal Sociedad0 – 1Athletic ClubL
  • 20 SeptValencia2 – 3Real SociedadW
  • 17 SeptReal Sociedad1 – 2BournemouthL
  • 13 SeptReal Sociedad0 – 3Atletico MadridL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Union St. Gilloise2.45
Draw3.69
Real Sociedad2.84

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Union St. Gilloise

Chance39.6%
Odds2.45

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.69

Real Sociedad

Chance34.1%
Odds2.84

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 6.5 at 3.10

Union St. GilloiseReal Sociedad
Recent form63%37%
Attack57%43%
Defence64%36%
Goals model57%43%
Overall54%46%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Union St. Gilloise scored 3.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Union St. Gilloise conceded 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 15 Oct 2026

Union St. Gilloise meet Real Sociedad in the World, UEFA Europa League on 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Union St. Gilloise at 2.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad match?

Kickoff is 17:45 on 15 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?

Union St. Gilloise is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.