Match dossier

Uganda vs Congo DR Predictions

World · Friendlies · Mon, 5 Oct 2026 · 14:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

World · FriendliesMon, 5 Oct 2026

Uganda

DLDWW

Mon, 5 Oct 202614:00

1 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 1.5 · 1.44

Congo DR

WLWWL

Pre-match win probability

48.7%Uganda27.7%Draw23.6%Congo DR

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Uganda

Uganda vs Congo DR listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence69.44%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Uganda 48.7%
  • Draw 27.7%
  • Congo DR 23.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.4469%Won

Season statistics

Friendlies · 6 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

UgandaCongo DR
Goals scored (avg)
1.21.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.1

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Uganda2W 2D 2L in last 6
  • 2 OctCongo DR0 – 2UgandaW
  • 29 SeptUganda1 – 0LibyaW
  • 24 SeptTunisia1 – 1UgandaD
  • 30 DecUganda1 – 3NigeriaL
  • 27 DecUganda1 – 1TanzaniaD
  • 23 DecTunisia3 – 1UgandaL
Congo DR3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 2 OctCongo DR0 – 2UgandaL
  • 28 SeptZimbabwe1 – 2Congo DRW
  • 24 SeptCongo DR2 – 0Equatorial GuineaW
  • 1 JulEngland2 – 1Congo DRL
  • 28 JunCongo DR3 – 1UzbekistanW
  • 24 JunColombia1 – 0Congo DRL
  • 17 JunPortugal1 – 1Congo DRD
  • 9 JunCongo DR1 – 2ChileL
  • 3 JunCongo DR0 – 0DenmarkD
H2H
Head to headUganda 2W · 1D · Congo DR 1W · 1.3 goals a game
  • 2 OctCongo DR0 – 2Uganda
  • 14 JunCongo DR1 – 0Uganda
  • 14 JanCongo DR0 – 0Uganda
  • 22 JunCongo DR0 – 2Uganda

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Uganda2.01
Draw3.54
Congo DR4.15

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Uganda

Chance48.7%
Odds2.01

Draw

Chance27.7%
Odds3.54

Congo DR

Chance23.6%
Odds4.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.44

UgandaCongo DR
Recent form42%58%
Attack52%48%
Defence47%53%
Goals model52%48%
Head-to-head63%37%
Overall67%33%

Trends

Trend · Friendlies

Uganda scored 1.2 per game in the last 6.

Trend · Friendlies

Uganda conceded 1.3 per game in the last 6.

Trend · Friendlies

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 6.

Trend · Friendlies

Over 2.5 goals in 2 of those 6.

Uganda vs Congo DR: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies · Mon, 5 Oct 2026

Uganda meet Congo DR in the World, Friendlies on 5 October 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Uganda at 2.01. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Uganda vs Congo DR FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Uganda vs Congo DR match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 5 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Uganda vs Congo DR?

Uganda is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.01. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.