Match dossier

Truro City vs Merthyr Town Predictions

England · FA Cup · Tue, 22 Sept 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · FA CupTue, 22 Sept 2026

Truro City

LWWWW

Tue, 22 Sept 202619:45

2 : 0

Full timeTip: Over 2.5 · 1.70

Merthyr Town

DDLLD

Pre-match win probability

55.5%Truro City23.1%Draw21.4%Merthyr Town

Our prediction

Over 2.5 · Truro City

Truro City vs Merthyr Town listed tip from the board.

Odds1.70
Confidence58.82%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Truro City 55.5%
  • Draw 23.1%
  • Merthyr Town 21.4%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.7059%Lost

Season statistics

FA Cup · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Truro CityMerthyr Town
Goals scored (avg)
2.41
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.6

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Truro City8W 1D 1L in last 10
  • 3 NovTruro City1 – 0West Bromwich Albion U21W
  • 31 OctTruro City3 – 0Ebbsfleet UnitedW
  • 27 OctTruro City3 – 1Slough TownW
  • 24 OctHampton & Richmond3 – 4Truro CityW
  • 17 OctSutton Utd1 – 0Truro CityL
  • 13 OctTruro City3 – 0Birmingham City U21W
  • 10 OctBraintree1 – 2Truro CityW
  • 6 OctFarnham Town2 – 2Truro CityD
  • 3 OctTruro City4 – 0Cirencester TownW
  • 26 SeptMaidstone Utd1 – 2Truro CityW
Merthyr Town1W 5D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctRadcliffe3 – 3Merthyr TownD
  • 27 OctOxford City3 – 0Merthyr TownL
  • 24 OctMerthyr Town1 – 3MorecambeL
  • 17 OctMerthyr Town1 – 1King's Lynn TownD
  • 10 OctDarlington 18831 – 1Merthyr TownD
  • 26 SeptMerthyr Town1 – 2MarineL
  • 19 SeptMerthyr Town1 – 1Truro CityD
  • 12 SeptScarborough Athletic0 – 0Merthyr TownD
  • 8 SeptChester0 – 1Merthyr TownW
H2H
Head to headTruro City 2W · 2D · Merthyr Town 2W · 3.3 goals a game
  • 19 SeptMerthyr Town1 – 1Truro City
  • 11 MarMerthyr Town2 – 1Truro City
  • 21 JanTruro City0 – 0Merthyr Town
  • 3 SeptMerthyr Town5 – 2Truro City
  • 30 MarTruro City3 – 1Merthyr Town
  • 6 NovMerthyr Town1 – 3Truro City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Truro City1.62
Draw3.9
Merthyr Town4.2

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Truro City

Chance55.5%
Odds1.62

Draw

Chance23.1%
Odds3.9

Merthyr Town

Chance21.4%
Odds4.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 2.5 at 1.70

Truro CityMerthyr Town
Recent form76%24%
Attack71%29%
Defence60%40%
Goals model71%29%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall72%28%

Trends

Trend · FA Cup

Truro City scored 2.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · FA Cup

Truro City conceded 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · FA Cup

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · FA Cup

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Truro City vs Merthyr Town: prediction & preview

England · FA Cup · Tue, 22 Sept 2026

Truro City meet Merthyr Town in the England, FA Cup on 22 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Truro City at 1.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Truro City vs Merthyr Town FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Truro City vs Merthyr Town match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 22 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Truro City vs Merthyr Town?

Truro City is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.