Match dossier

Trefelin vs Caernarfon Town Predictions

Wales · Premier League · Fri, 21 Aug 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Wales · Premier LeagueFri, 21 Aug 2026

Trefelin

15th in table · 6 pts

LWWLL

Fri, 21 Aug 202619:45

0 : 2

Full timeTip: Over 0.5 · 1.23

Caernarfon Town

4th in table · 29 pts

LWWWL

Pre-match win probability

10.1%Trefelin17.2%Draw72.8%Caernarfon Town

Our prediction

Over 0.5 · Trefelin

Trefelin vs Caernarfon Town listed tip from the board.

Odds1.23
Confidence81.30%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Trefelin 10.1%
  • Draw 17.2%
  • Caernarfon Town 72.8%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.2381%Won

Season statistics

Premier League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

TrefelinCaernarfon Town
Goals scored (avg)
13
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
21.1
Wins
19
Played
1515

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Trefelin2W 2D 6L in last 10
  • 30 OctBarry Town3 – 0TrefelinL
  • 23 OctTrefelin0 – 2Flint Town UnitedL
  • 17 OctTrefelin4 – 1Llantwit MajorW
  • 9 OctCardiff MET1 – 3TrefelinW
  • 3 OctAirbus UK3 – 0TrefelinL
  • 26 SeptTrefelin1 – 3The New SaintsL
  • 18 SeptBriton Ferry1 – 1TrefelinD
  • 15 SeptTrefelin0 – 4Cambrian & ClydachL
  • 11 SeptTrefelin0 – 1PenybontL
  • 4 SeptHolywell1 – 1TrefelinD
Caernarfon Town6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 30 OctAirbus UK3 – 2Caernarfon TownL
  • 23 OctCaernarfon Town3 – 1Briton FerryW
  • 17 OctFlint Town United1 – 3Caernarfon TownW
  • 9 OctHaverfordwest County AFC1 – 2Caernarfon TownW
  • 3 OctCaernarfon Town0 – 1Barry TownL
  • 26 SeptCardiff MET2 – 2Caernarfon TownD
  • 18 SeptCaernarfon Town9 – 1Cambrian & ClydachW
  • 15 SeptLlandudno1 – 1Caernarfon TownD
  • 11 SeptAmmanford AFC0 – 5Caernarfon TownW
  • 4 SeptCaernarfon Town3 – 0Flint Town UnitedW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Trefelin9.05
Draw5.3
Caernarfon Town1.25

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Trefelin

Chance10.1%
Odds9.05

Draw

Chance17.2%
Odds5.3

Caernarfon Town

Chance72.8%
Odds1.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 0.5 at 1.23

TrefelinCaernarfon Town
Recent form29%71%
Attack25%75%
Defence34%66%
Goals model25%75%
Overall12%88%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Trefelin scored 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Trefelin conceded 2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 5 of those 10.

Trend · Premier League

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 10.

Trefelin vs Caernarfon Town: prediction & preview

Wales · Premier League · Fri, 21 Aug 2026

Trefelin meet Caernarfon Town in the Wales, Premier League on 21 August 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Caernarfon Town at 1.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 72.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Trefelin vs Caernarfon Town FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Trefelin vs Caernarfon Town match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 21 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Trefelin vs Caernarfon Town?

Caernarfon Town is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 72.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.