Match dossier

Swindon Town vs Newport County Predictions

England · EFL Trophy · Tue, 22 Sept 2026 · 19:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · EFL TrophyTue, 22 Sept 2026

Swindon Town

LDWDW

Tue, 22 Sept 202619:00

0 : 2

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.18

Newport County

DDLWL

Pre-match win probability

46.9%Swindon Town25.9%Draw27.2%Newport County

Our prediction

1X · Swindon Town

Swindon Town vs Newport County listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence84.75%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Swindon Town 46.9%
  • Draw 25.9%
  • Newport County 27.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.1885%Lost
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2183%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.6837%Lost
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.3475%Won
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3375%Won

Season statistics

EFL Trophy · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Swindon TownNewport County
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.1

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Swindon Town2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctSwindon Town2 – 1RotherhamW
  • 24 OctBristol Rovers0 – 0Swindon TownD
  • 20 OctBarnet1 – 3Swindon TownW
  • 17 OctSwindon Town1 – 1WalsallD
  • 10 OctSwindon Town0 – 1CreweL
  • 3 OctRochdale1 – 0Swindon TownL
  • 26 SeptSwindon Town1 – 1Accrington STD
  • 19 SeptSalford City1 – 0Swindon TownL
  • 15 SeptSwindon Town1 – 2Crystal Palace U21L
Newport County3W 4D 2L in last 9
  • 3 NovNewport County1 – 2Crystal Palace U21L
  • 30 OctNewport County4 – 1ChesterfieldW
  • 24 OctCheltenham1 – 0Newport CountyL
  • 20 OctRotherham2 – 2Newport CountyD
  • 17 OctNewport County1 – 1YorkD
  • 10 OctNewport County1 – 0ColchesterW
  • 6 OctNewport County2 – 2PlymouthD
  • 3 OctGillingham0 – 0Newport CountyD
  • 26 SeptNewport County2 – 1GrimsbyW
H2H
Head to headSwindon Town 6W · 0D · Newport County 3W · 2.2 goals a game
  • 11 FebSwindon Town2 – 0Newport County
  • 4 OctNewport County0 – 1Swindon Town
  • 24 JanNewport County1 – 2Swindon Town
  • 14 SeptSwindon Town4 – 0Newport County
  • 3 FebNewport County2 – 1Swindon Town
  • 14 OctSwindon Town2 – 0Newport County
  • 4 FebNewport County2 – 1Swindon Town
  • 4 OctSwindon Town1 – 0Newport County
  • 9 AprSwindon Town0 – 1Newport County

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Swindon Town1.94
Draw3.52
Newport County3.34

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Swindon Town

Chance46.9%
Odds1.94

Draw

Chance25.9%
Odds3.52

Newport County

Chance27.2%
Odds3.34

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.18

Swindon TownNewport County
Recent form41%59%
Attack39%61%
Defence51%49%
Goals model39%61%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall63%37%

Trends

Trend · EFL Trophy

Swindon Town scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · EFL Trophy

Swindon Town conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · EFL Trophy

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · EFL Trophy

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Swindon Town vs Newport County: prediction & preview

England · EFL Trophy · Tue, 22 Sept 2026

Swindon Town meet Newport County in the England, EFL Trophy on 22 September 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Swindon Town at 1.94. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Swindon Town vs Newport County FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Swindon Town vs Newport County match?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 22 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Swindon Town vs Newport County?

Swindon Town is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.94. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.