Match dossier
Sweden vs Poland Predictions
World · UEFA Nations League · Mon, 28 Sept 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips
Sweden
1st in table · 10 pts
Mon, 28 Sept 202619:45
3 : 1
Full timeTip: X · 3.78
Poland
3rd in table · 4 pts
Pre-match win probability
Results are graded automatically after full time
Our prediction
X · Sweden
Sweden vs Poland listed tip from the board.
- Sweden 49.7%
- Draw 25%
- Poland 25.4%
Board tips
Betting Tips
- DrawsXOdds 3.7868%Lost
- Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.1885%Won
- Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.7258%Won
- corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.1232%Lost
- 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.4370%Lost
- cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.8056%Lost
- 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3276%Won
Season statistics
UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger
SwedenPoland1.81.314Recent form
Last matches · newest first
- 5 OctRomania0 – 1SwedenW
- 2 OctBosnia & Herzegovina1 – 1SwedenD
- 25 SeptSweden2 – 1RomaniaW
- 30 JunFrance3 – 0SwedenL
- 26 JunJapan1 – 1SwedenD
- 20 JunNetherlands5 – 1SwedenL
- 15 JunSweden5 – 1TunisiaW
- 4 JunSweden2 – 2GreeceD
- 1 JunNorway3 – 1SwedenL
- 5 OctBosnia & Herzegovina1 – 0PolandL
- 2 OctPoland6 – 0RomaniaW
- 25 SeptPoland0 – 0Bosnia & HerzegovinaD
- 3 JunPoland2 – 2NigeriaD
- 31 MayPoland0 – 2UkraineL
- 31 MarSweden3 – 2PolandL
- 26 MarPoland2 – 1AlbaniaW
- 17 NovMalta2 – 3PolandW
- 14 NovPoland1 – 1NetherlandsD
H2H- 31 MarSweden3 – 2Poland
- 29 MarPoland2 – 0Sweden
- 23 JunSweden3 – 2Poland
Betting markets
Bookmaker prices with margin removed
No over/under prices stored.
Match result
No BTTS prices stored.
No double chance prices stored.
Sweden
Draw
Poland
No half-time prices stored.
No corner prices stored.
Model comparison
Our pick: X at 3.78
SwedenPolandTrends
Trend · UEFA Nations League
Sweden scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.
Trend · UEFA Nations League
Sweden conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.
Trend · UEFA Nations League
Failed to score in 1 of those 9.
Trend · UEFA Nations League
Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.
Sweden vs Poland: prediction & preview
World · UEFA Nations League · Mon, 28 Sept 2026
Sweden meet Poland in the World, UEFA Nations League on 28 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.
On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sweden at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.
Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.
Sweden vs Poland FAQs
4 questionsWhat time is the Sweden vs Poland match?
Kickoff is 19:45 on 28 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.
What are the safest picks for Sweden vs Poland?
Sweden is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.7%.
What are the over and under 2.5 prices?
Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.
Do both teams score on this match?
A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.