Match dossier

Swansea vs Burnley Predictions

England · Championship · Sat, 12 Sept 2026 · 15:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 12 Sept 2026

Swansea

4th in table · 26 pts

WLLWL

Sat, 12 Sept 202615:00

3 : 1

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.27

Burnley

22nd in table · 10 pts

DLLDD

Pre-match win probability

43.2%Swansea27.6%Draw29.3%Burnley

Our prediction

1X · Swansea

Swansea vs Burnley listed tip from the board.

Odds1.27
Confidence78.74%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Swansea 43.2%
  • Draw 27.6%
  • Burnley 29.3%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2779%Won
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.6262%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.5128%Lost
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.6262%Won

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SwanseaBurnley
Goals scored (avg)
1.21.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.4
Wins
81
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Swansea4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 3 NovPortsmouth3 – 1SwanseaL
  • 31 OctSwansea4 – 0BlackburnW
  • 24 OctQPR5 – 0SwanseaL
  • 17 OctSwansea0 – 1West HamL
  • 13 OctMillwall0 – 1SwanseaW
  • 10 OctSwansea2 – 1NorwichW
  • 19 SeptLincoln1 – 2SwanseaW
  • 8 SeptSouthampton3 – 1SwanseaL
  • 5 SeptSwansea0 – 0WrexhamD
Burnley1W 5D 3L in last 9
  • 3 NovQPR1 – 1BurnleyD
  • 31 OctBurnley0 – 0PortsmouthD
  • 24 OctLincoln4 – 1BurnleyL
  • 16 OctBurnley1 – 2WolvesL
  • 13 OctBurnley2 – 2CharltonD
  • 10 OctWatford0 – 4BurnleyW
  • 19 SeptBurnley1 – 1DerbyD
  • 8 SeptWrexham1 – 1BurnleyD
  • 5 SeptBurnley1 – 2Bristol CityL
H2H
Head to headSwansea 4W · 0D · Burnley 5W · 2.2 goals a game
  • 15 MarSwansea0 – 2Burnley
  • 10 NovBurnley1 – 0Swansea
  • 2 JanSwansea1 – 2Burnley
  • 15 OctBurnley4 – 0Swansea
  • 10 FebSwansea1 – 0Burnley
  • 18 NovBurnley2 – 0Swansea
  • 4 MarSwansea3 – 2Burnley
  • 13 AugBurnley0 – 1Swansea
  • 28 FebBurnley0 – 1Swansea

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Swansea2.17
Draw3.4
Burnley3.2

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Swansea

Chance43.2%
Odds2.17

Draw

Chance27.6%
Odds3.4

Burnley

Chance29.3%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.27

SwanseaBurnley
Recent form62%38%
Attack48%52%
Defence47%53%
Goals model48%52%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall60%40%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Swansea scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Swansea conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Swansea vs Burnley: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Swansea meet Burnley in the England, Championship on 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Swansea at 2.17. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Swansea vs Burnley FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Swansea vs Burnley match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Swansea vs Burnley?

Swansea is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.17. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.