Match dossier

Sturm Graz vs Celje Predictions

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 5 Nov 2026 · 21:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Sturm Graz

19th in table · 4 pts

WWDLD

Thu, 5 Nov 202621:00

vs

Not startedTip: Over 0.5 · 1.25

Celje

29th in table · 1 pts

DDWDW

Pre-match win probability

58.6%Sturm Graz23%Draw18.4%Celje

Our prediction

Over 0.5 · Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz vs Celje listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence80%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sturm Graz 58.6%
  • Draw 23%
  • Celje 18.4%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeOver 0.5Odds 1.2580%Pending
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6760%Pending
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.5764%Pending
  • free 2 oddsGGOdds 1.6760%Pending
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.2580%Pending

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Sturm GrazCelje
Goals scored (avg)
1.71.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41
Wins
10
Played
33

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sturm Graz4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 1 NovWolfsberger AC1 – 1Sturm GrazD
  • 29 OctAustria Lustenau3 – 2Sturm GrazL
  • 25 OctSturm Graz2 – 2RiedD
  • 22 OctSturm Graz1 – 0MarseilleW
  • 18 OctSturm Graz6 – 1Grazer AKW
  • 15 OctBournemouth3 – 0Sturm GrazL
  • 10 OctAustria Vienna0 – 2Sturm GrazW
  • 2 OctSturm Graz3 – 1Floridsdorfer ACW
  • 20 SeptRed Bull Salzburg3 – 0Sturm GrazL
  • 16 SeptSturm Graz0 – 0RennesD
Celje3W 4D 3L in last 10
  • 1 NovCelje4 – 0NaftaW
  • 28 OctOlimpija Ljubljana1 – 1CeljeD
  • 25 OctKorotan Prevalje0 – 2CeljeW
  • 22 OctCelje2 – 2Red Bull SalzburgD
  • 18 OctMaribor0 – 0CeljeD
  • 15 OctCelje0 – 3Omonia NicosiaL
  • 10 OctCelje1 – 0AluminijW
  • 20 SeptMura0 – 0CeljeD
  • 16 SeptBayer Leverkusen2 – 0CeljeL
  • 12 SeptBravo2 – 1CeljeL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710% · 2.38
3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes56.8%
No43.2%

Double chance

1X40.5%
1238.9%
X220.6%

Match result

Sturm Graz1.57
Draw4
Celje5

Both teams to score

Yes56.8% · 1.67
No43.2% · 2.2

1X

Chance40.5%
Odds1.17

12

Chance38.9%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance20.6%
Odds2.3

Sturm Graz

Chance58.6%
Odds1.57

Draw

Chance23%
Odds4

Celje

Chance18.4%
Odds5

First half result

Sturm Graz45.1% · 2
Draw36.8% · 2.45
Celje18% · 5

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.25

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 0.5 at 1.25

Sturm GrazCelje
Recent form54%46%
Attack61%39%
Defence44%56%
Goals model61%39%
Overall76%24%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Sturm Graz scored 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Sturm Graz conceded 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Sturm Graz vs Celje: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 5 Nov 2026

Sturm Graz meet Celje in the World, UEFA Europa League on 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sturm Graz at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67. The both-teams-to-score potential is 38%.

Sturm Graz are listed at 45 points per game. Celje are listed at 10 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Sturm Graz vs Celje FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Sturm Graz vs Celje match?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 5 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Sturm Graz vs Celje?

Sturm Graz is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.