Match dossier

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Predictions

England · Championship · Tue, 13 Oct 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · ChampionshipTue, 13 Oct 2026

Stoke City

7th in table · 23 pts

WWDWW

Tue, 13 Oct 202620:00

2 : 3

Full timeTip: GG · 1.59

Middlesbrough

1st in table · 28 pts

DWDWW

Pre-match win probability

26.7%Stoke City25.4%Draw47.9%Middlesbrough

Our prediction

GG · Stoke City

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough listed tip from the board.

Odds1.59
Confidence62.89%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Stoke City 26.7%
  • Draw 25.4%
  • Middlesbrough 47.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.5963%Won
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.8535%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 4.0825%Lost

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Stoke CityMiddlesbrough
Goals scored (avg)
1.82.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.61.4
Wins
78
Played
1313

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Stoke City7W 2D 0L in last 9
  • 3 NovBlackburn1 – 2Stoke CityW
  • 31 OctStoke City2 – 0PrestonW
  • 24 OctStoke City0 – 0Bristol CityD
  • 17 OctDerby0 – 1Stoke CityW
  • 10 OctBolton1 – 2Stoke CityW
  • 19 SeptStoke City2 – 1Sheffield UtdW
  • 12 SeptWatford1 – 2Stoke CityW
  • 8 SeptCardiff1 – 1Stoke CityD
  • 5 SeptStoke City4 – 0CharltonW
Middlesbrough5W 3D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctMiddlesbrough3 – 0CharltonW
  • 23 OctBolton1 – 5MiddlesbroughW
  • 17 OctMiddlesbrough2 – 2CardiffD
  • 10 OctMiddlesbrough1 – 0WolvesW
  • 19 SeptBirmingham2 – 2MiddlesbroughD
  • 15 SeptMiddlesbrough2 – 2MillwallD
  • 12 SeptMiddlesbrough4 – 3NorwichW
  • 8 SeptCrystal Palace3 – 0MiddlesbroughL
  • 5 SeptQPR0 – 1MiddlesbroughW
H2H
Head to headStoke City 3W · 3D · Middlesbrough 3W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 21 JanStoke City1 – 2Middlesbrough
  • 30 SeptMiddlesbrough0 – 0Stoke City
  • 25 FebStoke City1 – 3Middlesbrough
  • 28 SeptMiddlesbrough2 – 0Stoke City
  • 27 AugMiddlesbrough0 – 5Stoke City
  • 2 MarStoke City2 – 0Middlesbrough
  • 28 OctMiddlesbrough0 – 2Stoke City
  • 14 MarMiddlesbrough1 – 1Stoke City
  • 17 AugStoke City2 – 2Middlesbrough

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Stoke City3.5
Draw3.68
Middlesbrough1.95

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Stoke City

Chance26.7%
Odds3.5

Draw

Chance25.4%
Odds3.68

Middlesbrough

Chance47.9%
Odds1.95

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GG at 1.59

Stoke CityMiddlesbrough
Recent form56%44%
Attack45%55%
Defence60%40%
Goals model45%55%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall36%64%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Stoke City scored 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Stoke City conceded 0.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Tue, 13 Oct 2026

Stoke City meet Middlesbrough in the England, Championship on 13 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Middlesbrough at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Stoke City vs Middlesbrough match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 13 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Stoke City vs Middlesbrough?

Middlesbrough is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.