Match dossier

Spain vs Croatia Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Tue, 29 Sept 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Spain

1st in table · 12 pts

WWWWW

Tue, 29 Sept 202619:45

4 : 1

Full timeTip: 1 · 1.24

Croatia

3rd in table · 3 pts

WLWLL

Pre-match win probability

80.8%Spain12.9%Draw6.3%Croatia

Our prediction

1 · Spain

Spain vs Croatia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.24
Confidence80.65%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Spain 80.8%
  • Draw 12.9%
  • Croatia 6.3%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Home Win1Odds 1.2481%Won
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.2381%Won
  • free 2 odds1Odds 1.30Won
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.8355%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.1447%Lost

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SpainCroatia
Goals scored (avg)
21.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.62.2
Wins
41
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Spain9W 0D 0L in last 9
  • 6 OctCroatia1 – 2SpainW
  • 3 OctSpain3 – 1CzechiaW
  • 26 SeptEngland2 – 3SpainW
  • 19 JulSpain1 – 0ArgentinaW
  • 14 JulFrance0 – 2SpainW
  • 10 JulSpain2 – 1BelgiumW
  • 6 JulPortugal0 – 1SpainW
  • 2 JulSpain3 – 0AustriaW
  • 27 JunUruguay0 – 1SpainW
Croatia4W 0D 5L in last 9
  • 6 OctCroatia1 – 2SpainL
  • 3 OctCroatia0 – 7EnglandL
  • 26 SeptCzechia1 – 2CroatiaW
  • 3 JulPortugal2 – 1CroatiaL
  • 27 JunCroatia2 – 1GhanaW
  • 24 JunPanama0 – 1CroatiaW
  • 17 JunEngland4 – 2CroatiaL
  • 7 JunCroatia2 – 1SloveniaW
  • 2 JunCroatia0 – 2BelgiumL
H2H
Head to headSpain 5W · 1D · Croatia 2W · 3.6 goals a game
  • 6 OctCroatia1 – 2Spain
  • 15 JunSpain3 – 0Croatia
  • 18 JunCroatia0 – 0Spain
  • 28 JunCroatia3 – 5Spain
  • 15 NovCroatia3 – 2Spain
  • 11 SeptSpain6 – 0Croatia
  • 21 JunCroatia2 – 1Spain
  • 18 JunCroatia0 – 1Spain

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Spain1.2
Draw7.49
Croatia15.5

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Spain

Chance80.8%
Odds1.2

Draw

Chance12.9%
Odds7.49

Croatia

Chance6.3%
Odds15.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.24

SpainCroatia
Recent form69%31%
Attack63%37%
Defence75%25%
Goals model63%37%
Head-to-head69%31%
Overall93%7%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Spain scored 2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Spain conceded 0.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 9.

Spain vs Croatia: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Tue, 29 Sept 2026

Spain meet Croatia in the World, UEFA Nations League on 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Spain at 1.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 80.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Spain vs Croatia FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Spain vs Croatia match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 29 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Spain vs Croatia?

Spain is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 80.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.