Match dossier

Şimal vs Şahdağ Predictions

Azerbaijan · Birinci Dasta · Thu, 17 Sept 2026 · 13:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Şimal

6th in table · 8 pts

DDWWL

Thu, 17 Sept 202613:30

1 : 4

Full timeTip: Over 1.5 · 1.23

Şahdağ

2nd in table · 15 pts

WWLWW

Pre-match win probability

16.9%Şimal24.9%Draw58.2%Şahdağ

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Şimal

Şimal vs Şahdağ listed tip from the board.

Odds1.23
Confidence81.30%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Şimal 16.9%
  • Draw 24.9%
  • Şahdağ 58.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeOver 1.5Odds 1.2381%Won
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2381%Won
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3574%Won
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.3077%Lost

Season statistics

Birinci Dasta · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ŞimalŞahdağ
Goals scored (avg)
1.92.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.90.3
Wins
25
Played
66

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Şimal4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 27 OctŞimal0 – 6ArazL
  • 22 OctŞimal5 – 2Baku SportinqW
  • 15 OctMingəçevir1 – 4ŞimalW
  • 9 OctŞimal1 – 1Xankəndi FKD
  • 11 SeptMOIK1 – 1ŞimalD
  • 4 SeptŞimal1 – 2CəbrayılL
  • 27 MayŞimal2 – 1Qaradağ LökbatanW
  • 21 MayCəbrayıl2 – 3ŞimalW
  • 14 MayŞimal0 – 1Difai AğsuL
Şahdağ6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 28 OctMOIK1 – 9ŞahdağW
  • 21 OctŞahdağ1 – 0SəbailW
  • 15 OctXankəndi FK1 – 0ŞahdağL
  • 7 OctŞahdağ6 – 0ZaqatalaW
  • 9 SeptŞahdağ2 – 0KarvanW
  • 3 SeptMOIK0 – 1ŞahdağW
  • 22 MayŞahdağ1 – 1Baku SportinqD
  • 15 MaySəbail0 – 0ŞahdağD
  • 5 MayŞahdağ2 – 0MingəçevirW
H2H
Head to headŞimal 0W · 0D · Şahdağ 4W · 2.5 goals a game
  • 3 AprŞahdağ1 – 0Şimal
  • 19 FebŞimal0 – 1Şahdağ
  • 6 NovŞahdağ4 – 2Şimal
  • 29 OctŞimal0 – 2Şahdağ

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Şimal5.33
Draw3.62
Şahdağ1.55

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Şimal

Chance16.9%
Odds5.33

Draw

Chance24.9%
Odds3.62

Şahdağ

Chance58.2%
Odds1.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.23

ŞimalŞahdağ
Recent form41%59%
Attack44%56%
Defence29%71%
Goals model44%56%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall23%77%

Trends

Trend · Birinci Dasta

Şimal scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Birinci Dasta

Şimal conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Birinci Dasta

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Birinci Dasta

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

Şimal vs Şahdağ: prediction & preview

Azerbaijan · Birinci Dasta · Thu, 17 Sept 2026

Şimal meet Şahdağ in the Azerbaijan, Birinci Dasta on 17 September 2026 at 13:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Şahdağ at 1.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Şimal vs Şahdağ FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Şimal vs Şahdağ match?

Kickoff is 13:30 on 17 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Şimal vs Şahdağ?

Şahdağ is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.