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Sao Paulo vs Santos Predictions

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 3 Oct 2026 · 00:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 3 Oct 2026

Sao Paulo

10th in table · 43 pts

LWWDL

Sat, 3 Oct 202600:00

1 : 2

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.29

Santos

9th in table · 47 pts

LWDDL

Pre-match win probability

45.5%Sao Paulo28.5%Draw26%Santos

Our prediction

1X · Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo vs Santos listed tip from the board.

Odds1.29
Confidence77.52%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sao Paulo 45.5%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • Santos 26%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • free1XOdds 1.2978%Lost
  • DrawsXOdds 3.3767%Lost
  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2978%Lost

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Sao PauloSantos
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.6
Wins
1212
Played
3334

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sao Paulo3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 29 OctBahia3 – 2Sao PauloL
  • 24 OctMirassol1 – 1Sao PauloD
  • 18 OctSao Paulo1 – 0Vasco DA GamaW
  • 11 OctSao Paulo2 – 1VitoriaW
  • 8 OctCruzeiro2 – 0Sao PauloL
  • 20 SeptSao Paulo1 – 0InternacionalW
  • 16 SeptSao Paulo1 – 1Boca JuniorsD
  • 12 SeptPalmeiras2 – 0Sao PauloL
  • 9 SeptBoca Juniors1 – 0Sao PauloL
Santos3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 3 NovRB Bragantino2 – 1SantosL
  • 28 OctSantos0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 25 OctSantos1 – 1BahiaD
  • 18 OctFluminense1 – 2SantosW
  • 11 OctAtletico-MG2 – 1SantosL
  • 8 OctSantos2 – 2FlamengoD
  • 19 SeptRemo1 – 2SantosW
  • 16 SeptAtletico-MG4 – 2SantosL
  • 13 SeptSantos2 – 1CruzeiroW
H2H
Head to headSao Paulo 4W · 2D · Santos 3W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 5 FebSantos1 – 1Sao Paulo
  • 1 FebSao Paulo2 – 0Santos
  • 22 SeptSantos1 – 0Sao Paulo
  • 20 AprSao Paulo2 – 1Santos
  • 2 FebSantos3 – 1Sao Paulo
  • 14 FebSao Paulo0 – 1Santos
  • 12 NovSantos0 – 0Sao Paulo
  • 16 JulSao Paulo4 – 1Santos
  • 12 FebSao Paulo3 – 1Santos

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Sao Paulo2.11
Draw3.37
Santos3.69

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Sao Paulo

Chance45.5%
Odds2.11

Draw

Chance28.5%
Odds3.37

Santos

Chance26%
Odds3.69

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.29

Sao PauloSantos
Recent form48%52%
Attack39%61%
Defence56%44%
Goals model39%61%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall64%36%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Sao Paulo scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Sao Paulo conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Sao Paulo vs Santos: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 3 Oct 2026

Sao Paulo meet Santos in the Brazil, Serie A on 3 October 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sao Paulo at 2.11. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sao Paulo vs Santos FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Sao Paulo vs Santos match?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 3 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Sao Paulo vs Santos?

Sao Paulo is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.11. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.