Match dossier

Rio Ave vs Estrela Predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Mon, 14 Sept 2026 · 18:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaMon, 14 Sept 2026

Rio Ave

16th in table · 7 pts

LWWLL

Mon, 14 Sept 202618:45

3 : 3

Full timeTip: Over 1.5 · 1.29

Estrela

12th in table · 10 pts

LLWLL

Pre-match win probability

33.2%Rio Ave29.7%Draw37.1%Estrela

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Rio Ave

Rio Ave vs Estrela listed tip from the board.

Odds1.29
Confidence77.52%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Rio Ave 33.2%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Estrela 37.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2978%Won
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.8355%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.4929%Lost

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Rio AveEstrela
Goals scored (avg)
0.81.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.11.7
Wins
22
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Rio Ave3W 0D 6L in last 9
  • 1 NovAcademico Viseu2 – 1Rio AveL
  • 25 OctRio Ave0 – 4FamalicaoL
  • 17 OctLouletano0 – 1Rio AveW
  • 11 OctRio Ave3 – 2NacionalW
  • 19 SeptAlverca1 – 0Rio AveL
  • 6 SeptSanta Clara4 – 0Rio AveL
  • 28 AugRio Ave0 – 4Sporting CPL
  • 22 AugEstoril0 – 2Rio AveW
  • 15 AugRio Ave0 – 2FC PortoL
Estrela3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctMoreirense2 – 1EstrelaL
  • 24 OctEstrela0 – 2Casa PiaL
  • 17 OctFazendense1 – 2EstrelaW
  • 11 OctArouca1 – 0EstrelaL
  • 20 SeptEstrela0 – 2Academico ViseuL
  • 10 SeptEstrela2 – 1SC BragaW
  • 5 SeptEstrela2 – 2FamalicaoD
  • 30 AugNacional2 – 3EstrelaW
  • 15 AugAlverca2 – 2EstrelaD
H2H
Head to headRio Ave 5W · 2D · Estrela 1W · 2.9 goals a game
  • 15 MarRio Ave2 – 1Estrela
  • 25 OctEstrela1 – 2Rio Ave
  • 5 MayRio Ave2 – 0Estrela
  • 23 DecEstrela1 – 0Rio Ave
  • 14 AprEstrela2 – 2Rio Ave
  • 2 DecRio Ave1 – 1Estrela
  • 14 FebRio Ave1 – 0Estrela
  • 10 SeptEstrela2 – 5Rio Ave

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Rio Ave2.92
Draw3.26
Estrela2.61

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Rio Ave

Chance33.2%
Odds2.92

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3.26

Estrela

Chance37.1%
Odds2.61

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.29

Rio AveEstrela
Recent form45%55%
Attack38%62%
Defence41%59%
Goals model38%62%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall47%53%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Rio Ave scored 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Rio Ave conceded 2.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Rio Ave vs Estrela: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Mon, 14 Sept 2026

Rio Ave meet Estrela in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 14 September 2026 at 18:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Estrela at 2.61. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Rio Ave vs Estrela FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Rio Ave vs Estrela match?

Kickoff is 18:45 on 14 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Rio Ave vs Estrela?

Estrela is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.61. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.