Match dossier

Riga vs BFC Daugavpils Predictions

Latvia · Virsliga · Mon, 7 Sept 2026 · 17:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Latvia · VirsligaMon, 7 Sept 2026

Riga

2nd in table · 83 pts

DWDWD

Mon, 7 Sept 202617:00

1 : 1

Full timeTip: 1 · 1.30

BFC Daugavpils

4th in table · 51 pts

DWWWW

Pre-match win probability

70%Riga18%Draw12%BFC Daugavpils

Our prediction

1 · Riga

Riga vs BFC Daugavpils listed tip from the board.

Odds1.30
Confidence76.92%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Riga 70%
  • Draw 18%
  • BFC Daugavpils 12%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Home Win1Odds 1.3077%Lost
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.1885%Lost

Season statistics

Virsliga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

RigaBFC Daugavpils
Goals scored (avg)
1.71.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.80.8
Wins
2514
Played
3535

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Riga6W 4D 0L in last 10
  • 1 NovOgre United0 – 0RigaD
  • 26 OctGrobiņa2 – 5RigaW
  • 22 OctPafos1 – 1RigaD
  • 18 OctRiga2 – 1Super NovaW
  • 15 OctRiga1 – 1Kairat AlmatyD
  • 10 OctTukums0 – 2RigaW
  • 3 OctAris1 – 2RigaW
  • 19 SeptFS Jelgava0 – 1RigaW
  • 15 SeptSuper Nova0 – 1RigaW
  • 11 SeptRiga2 – 2AudaD
BFC Daugavpils4W 3D 2L in last 9
  • 1 NovBFC Daugavpils2 – 0TukumsW
  • 25 OctFS Jelgava0 – 1BFC DaugavpilsW
  • 19 OctBFC Daugavpils2 – 1AudaW
  • 11 OctOgre United1 – 2BFC DaugavpilsW
  • 19 SeptFK Liepaja0 – 0BFC DaugavpilsD
  • 13 SeptBFC Daugavpils1 – 2Rīgas FSL
  • 2 SeptBFC Daugavpils2 – 2AudaD
  • 29 AugGrobiņa1 – 0BFC DaugavpilsL
  • 22 AugSuper Nova0 – 0BFC DaugavpilsD
H2H
Head to headRiga 6W · 2D · BFC Daugavpils 1W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 25 JunBFC Daugavpils0 – 0Riga
  • 8 MayBFC Daugavpils1 – 3Riga
  • 14 MarRiga4 – 2BFC Daugavpils
  • 29 SeptBFC Daugavpils0 – 1Riga
  • 6 JulRiga1 – 1BFC Daugavpils
  • 14 MayBFC Daugavpils0 – 1Riga
  • 29 MarRiga1 – 2BFC Daugavpils
  • 19 OctBFC Daugavpils0 – 5Riga
  • 28 JulRiga1 – 0BFC Daugavpils

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Riga1.3
Draw5.05
BFC Daugavpils7.6

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Riga

Chance70%
Odds1.3

Draw

Chance18%
Odds5.05

BFC Daugavpils

Chance12%
Odds7.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.30

RigaBFC Daugavpils
Recent form59%41%
Attack61%39%
Defence50%50%
Goals model61%39%
Head-to-head78%22%
Overall85%15%

Trends

Trend · Virsliga

Riga scored 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Virsliga

Riga conceded 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Virsliga

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Virsliga

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Riga vs BFC Daugavpils: prediction & preview

Latvia · Virsliga · Mon, 7 Sept 2026

Riga meet BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia, Virsliga on 7 September 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Riga at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 70% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Riga vs BFC Daugavpils FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Riga vs BFC Daugavpils match?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 7 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?

Riga is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 70%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.