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Match dossier

Real Sociedad vs Lyon Predictions

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 5 Nov 2026 · 18:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

World · UEFA Europa LeagueThu, 5 Nov 2026

Real Sociedad

14th in table · 4 pts

DWWWL

Thu, 5 Nov 202618:45

vs

Not startedTip: GG · 1.53

Lyon

12th in table · 6 pts

WWLLW

Pre-match win probability

50.2%Real Sociedad24.7%Draw25.1%Lyon

Our prediction

GG · Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad vs Lyon listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence65.4%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Sociedad 50.2%
  • Draw 24.7%
  • Lyon 25.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.5365%Pending

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Real SociedadLyon
Goals scored (avg)
2.21.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.2
Wins
12
Played
33

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Real Sociedad5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 1 NovAthletic Club2 – 1Real SociedadL
  • 25 OctReal Sociedad2 – 1LevanteW
  • 22 OctLillestrom0 – 6Real SociedadW
  • 18 OctMalaga2 – 5Real SociedadW
  • 15 OctUnion St. Gilloise1 – 1Real SociedadD
  • 11 OctReal Sociedad3 – 2Deportivo La CorunaW
  • 2 OctReal Sociedad0 – 1Athletic ClubL
  • 20 SeptValencia2 – 3Real SociedadW
  • 17 SeptReal Sociedad1 – 2BournemouthL
  • 13 SeptReal Sociedad0 – 3Atletico MadridL
Lyon6W 1D 3L in last 10
  • 1 NovLyon2 – 0AngersW
  • 26 OctParis Saint Germain2 – 0LyonL
  • 22 Oct1899 Hoffenheim3 – 0LyonL
  • 18 OctLyon2 – 1NiceW
  • 15 OctLyon3 – 2Crystal PalaceW
  • 9 OctLens2 – 1LyonL
  • 19 SeptLyon4 – 0RennesW
  • 16 SeptAnderlecht1 – 2LyonW
  • 12 SeptParis FC0 – 0LyonD
  • 4 SeptLyon3 – 1AuxerreW
H2H
Head to headReal Sociedad 2W · 0D · Lyon 0W · 2 goals a game
  • 28 AugReal Sociedad2 – 0Lyon
  • 20 AugLyon0 – 2Real Sociedad

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710% · 2.38
3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes62%
No38%

Double chance

1X37.4%
1237.4%
X225.3%

Match result

Real Sociedad1.85
Draw3.75
Lyon3.7

Both teams to score

Yes62% · 1.53
No38% · 2.5

1X

Chance37.4%
Odds1.25

12

Chance37.4%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance25.3%
Odds1.85

Real Sociedad

Chance50.2%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance24.7%
Odds3.75

Lyon

Chance25.1%
Odds3.7

First half result

Real Sociedad40.3% · 2.25
Draw37% · 2.45
Lyon22.7% · 4

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.25

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GG at 1.53

Real SociedadLyon
Recent form46%54%
Attack56%44%
Defence44%56%
Goals model56%44%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall67%33%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Real Sociedad scored 2.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Real Sociedad conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Real Sociedad vs Lyon: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 5 Nov 2026

Real Sociedad meet Lyon in the World, UEFA Europa League on 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Sociedad at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53. The both-teams-to-score potential is 58%.

Real Sociedad are listed at 45 points per game. Lyon are listed at 10 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Real Sociedad vs Lyon FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Real Sociedad vs Lyon match?

Kickoff is 18:45 on 5 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Real Sociedad vs Lyon?

Real Sociedad is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.