Match dossier

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Predictions

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 13 Sept 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 13 Sept 2026

Real Sociedad

5th in table · 19 pts

DWWWL

Sun, 13 Sept 202620:00

0 : 3

Full timeTip: 2 · 2.43

Atletico Madrid

2nd in table · 28 pts

WDWWL

Pre-match win probability

32.4%Real Sociedad26.9%Draw40.7%Atletico Madrid

Our prediction

2 · Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds2.43
Confidence41.15%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Sociedad 32.4%
  • Draw 26.9%
  • Atletico Madrid 40.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Away Win2Odds 2.4341%Won
  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.4469%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.5166%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.1232%Lost
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.6737%Lost
  • Banker of the DayX2Odds 1.4469%Won

Season statistics

La Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Real SociedadAtletico Madrid
Goals scored (avg)
2.41.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.40.6
Wins
69
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Real Sociedad5W 1D 3L in last 9
  • 1 NovAthletic Club2 – 1Real SociedadL
  • 25 OctReal Sociedad2 – 1LevanteW
  • 22 OctLillestrom0 – 6Real SociedadW
  • 18 OctMalaga2 – 5Real SociedadW
  • 15 OctUnion St. Gilloise1 – 1Real SociedadD
  • 11 OctReal Sociedad3 – 2Deportivo La CorunaW
  • 2 OctReal Sociedad0 – 1Athletic ClubL
  • 20 SeptValencia2 – 3Real SociedadW
  • 17 SeptReal Sociedad1 – 2BournemouthL
Atletico Madrid7W 1D 1L in last 9
  • 3 NovAtletico Madrid0 – 2Bayern MünchenL
  • 31 OctLevante0 – 2Atletico MadridW
  • 24 OctAtletico Madrid1 – 0Deportivo La CorunaW
  • 20 OctVfB Stuttgart1 – 1Atletico MadridD
  • 17 OctEspanyol0 – 1Atletico MadridW
  • 13 OctAtletico Madrid2 – 0Manchester UnitedW
  • 10 OctAlaves1 – 2Atletico MadridW
  • 20 SeptAtletico Madrid2 – 1Real MadridW
  • 16 SeptAtletico Madrid4 – 0OsasunaW
H2H
Head to headReal Sociedad 0W · 4D · Atletico Madrid 4W · 2.8 goals a game
  • 18 AprAtletico Madrid2 – 2Real Sociedad
  • 7 MarAtletico Madrid3 – 2Real Sociedad
  • 4 JanReal Sociedad1 – 1Atletico Madrid
  • 10 MayAtletico Madrid4 – 0Real Sociedad
  • 6 OctReal Sociedad1 – 1Atletico Madrid
  • 25 MayReal Sociedad0 – 2Atletico Madrid
  • 8 OctAtletico Madrid2 – 1Real Sociedad
  • 3 AugAtletico Madrid0 – 0Real Sociedad

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Real Sociedad3.04
Draw3.66
Atletico Madrid2.42

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Real Sociedad

Chance32.4%
Odds3.04

Draw

Chance26.9%
Odds3.66

Atletico Madrid

Chance40.7%
Odds2.42

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 2.43

Real SociedadAtletico Madrid
Recent form42%58%
Attack59%41%
Defence40%60%
Goals model59%41%
Head-to-head25%75%
Overall44%56%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Real Sociedad scored 2.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Real Sociedad conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · La Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 13 Sept 2026

Real Sociedad meet Atletico Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 13 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 2.42. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 13 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid?

Atletico Madrid is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.42. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.