Match dossier

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Predictions

Spain · La Liga · Wed, 26 Aug 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Spain · La LigaWed, 26 Aug 2026

Real Madrid

3rd in table · 27 pts

WWWWW

Wed, 26 Aug 202620:00

4 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 0.5 · 1.23

Real Sociedad

5th in table · 19 pts

DWWWL

Pre-match win probability

71.8%Real Madrid17.1%Draw11.1%Real Sociedad

Our prediction

Over 0.5 · Real Madrid

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad listed tip from the board.

Odds1.23
Confidence81.30%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Madrid 71.8%
  • Draw 17.1%
  • Real Sociedad 11.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeOver 0.5Odds 1.2381%Won
  • Home Win1Odds 1.3773%Won
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.4071%Won
  • cards ouOver 2.5Odds 1.4270%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.2381%Won
  • free 2 odds1Odds 1.30Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.7757%Lost

Season statistics

La Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Real MadridReal Sociedad
Goals scored (avg)
2.82.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.6
Wins
96
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Real Madrid9W 0D 1L in last 10
  • 1 NovRacing Santander0 – 3Real MadridW
  • 25 OctBarcelona1 – 2Real MadridW
  • 21 OctReal Madrid4 – 1RB LeipzigW
  • 18 OctReal Madrid4 – 1SevillaW
  • 14 OctAS Roma3 – 4Real MadridW
  • 10 OctReal Madrid1 – 0VillarrealW
  • 20 SeptAtletico Madrid2 – 1Real MadridL
  • 15 SeptElche2 – 3Real MadridW
  • 12 SeptReal Madrid4 – 1Rayo VallecanoW
  • 8 SeptReal Madrid2 – 1InterW
Real Sociedad5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 1 NovAthletic Club2 – 1Real SociedadL
  • 25 OctReal Sociedad2 – 1LevanteW
  • 22 OctLillestrom0 – 6Real SociedadW
  • 18 OctMalaga2 – 5Real SociedadW
  • 15 OctUnion St. Gilloise1 – 1Real SociedadD
  • 11 OctReal Sociedad3 – 2Deportivo La CorunaW
  • 2 OctReal Sociedad0 – 1Athletic ClubL
  • 20 SeptValencia2 – 3Real SociedadW
  • 17 SeptReal Sociedad1 – 2BournemouthL
  • 13 SeptReal Sociedad0 – 3Atletico MadridL
H2H
Head to headReal Madrid 7W · 1D · Real Sociedad 1W · 3 goals a game
  • 14 FebReal Madrid4 – 1Real Sociedad
  • 13 SeptReal Sociedad1 – 2Real Madrid
  • 24 MayReal Madrid2 – 0Real Sociedad
  • 1 AprReal Madrid4 – 4Real Sociedad
  • 26 FebReal Sociedad0 – 1Real Madrid
  • 14 SeptReal Sociedad0 – 2Real Madrid
  • 26 AprReal Sociedad0 – 1Real Madrid
  • 17 SeptReal Madrid2 – 1Real Sociedad
  • 2 MayReal Sociedad2 – 0Real Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Real Madrid1.37
Draw5.74
Real Sociedad8.9

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Real Madrid

Chance71.8%
Odds1.37

Draw

Chance17.1%
Odds5.74

Real Sociedad

Chance11.1%
Odds8.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 0.5 at 1.23

Real MadridReal Sociedad
Recent form63%37%
Attack56%44%
Defence56%44%
Goals model56%44%
Head-to-head83%17%
Overall87%13%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Real Madrid scored 2.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · La Liga

Real Madrid conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · La Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Trend · La Liga

Over 2.5 goals in 9 of those 10.

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Wed, 26 Aug 2026

Real Madrid meet Real Sociedad in the Spain, La Liga on 26 August 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.37. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 71.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 26 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?

Real Madrid is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.37. The margin-adjusted share is about 71.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.