Match dossier

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Predictions

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 21 Oct 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Real Madrid

4th in table · 9 pts

WWWWW

Wed, 21 Oct 202620:00

4 : 1

Full timeTip: 1 · 1.29

RB Leipzig

30th in table · 3 pts

WLWWW

Pre-match win probability

76.5%Real Madrid13.8%Draw9.7%RB Leipzig

Our prediction

1 · Real Madrid

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig listed tip from the board.

Odds1.29
Confidence76.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Madrid 76.5%
  • Draw 13.8%
  • RB Leipzig 9.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • free1Odds 1.29Won
  • Home Win1Odds 1.2978%Won
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.7358%Lost
  • Banker of the Day1Odds 1.2978%Won
  • 3.5 GoalsOver 3.5Odds 1.5963%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.7757%Lost

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Real MadridRB Leipzig
Goals scored (avg)
2.72.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.4
Wins
31
Played
33

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Real Madrid8W 0D 1L in last 9
  • 1 NovRacing Santander0 – 3Real MadridW
  • 25 OctBarcelona1 – 2Real MadridW
  • 18 OctReal Madrid4 – 1SevillaW
  • 14 OctAS Roma3 – 4Real MadridW
  • 10 OctReal Madrid1 – 0VillarrealW
  • 20 SeptAtletico Madrid2 – 1Real MadridL
  • 15 SeptElche2 – 3Real MadridW
  • 12 SeptReal Madrid4 – 1Rayo VallecanoW
  • 8 SeptReal Madrid2 – 1InterW
RB Leipzig6W 0D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctFC Schalke 040 – 2RB LeipzigW
  • 27 OctRot-Weiß Essen1 – 2RB LeipzigW
  • 24 OctRB Leipzig4 – 0SV ElversbergW
  • 17 OctBayern München6 – 1RB LeipzigL
  • 13 OctRB Leipzig1 – 0PSV EindhovenW
  • 10 OctRB Leipzig6 – 0Eintracht FrankfurtW
  • 20 SeptBayer Leverkusen2 – 0RB LeipzigL
  • 13 SeptRB Leipzig5 – 0Hamburger SVW
  • 10 SeptComo4 – 1RB LeipzigL
H2H
Head to headReal Madrid 2W · 1D · RB Leipzig 1W · 2.5 goals a game
  • 6 MarReal Madrid1 – 1RB Leipzig
  • 13 FebRB Leipzig0 – 1Real Madrid
  • 25 OctRB Leipzig3 – 2Real Madrid
  • 14 SeptReal Madrid2 – 0RB Leipzig

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Real Madrid1.29
Draw7.15
RB Leipzig10.2

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Real Madrid

Chance76.5%
Odds1.29

Draw

Chance13.8%
Odds7.15

RB Leipzig

Chance9.7%
Odds10.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.29

Real MadridRB Leipzig
Recent form57%43%
Attack53%47%
Defence53%47%
Goals model53%47%
Head-to-head63%37%
Overall89%11%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Real Madrid scored 2.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Real Madrid conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of those 9.

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 21 Oct 2026

Real Madrid meet RB Leipzig in the World, UEFA Champions League on 21 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.29. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 76.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 21 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?

Real Madrid is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.29. The margin-adjusted share is about 76.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.