Match dossier

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves Predictions

Spain · La Liga · Thu, 20 Aug 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Spain · La LigaThu, 20 Aug 2026

Rayo Vallecano

12th in table · 12 pts

DDLWW

Thu, 20 Aug 202620:00

1 : 1

Full timeTip: 2 · 3.68

Alaves

11th in table · 12 pts

DLLDL

Pre-match win probability

42.1%Rayo Vallecano31.1%Draw26.8%Alaves

Our prediction

2 · Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves listed tip from the board.

Odds3.68
Confidence27.17%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Rayo Vallecano 42.1%
  • Draw 31.1%
  • Alaves 26.8%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Away Win2Odds 3.6827%Lost
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.6162%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.6038%Lost

Season statistics

La Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Rayo VallecanoAlaves
Goals scored (avg)
1.81.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.11.8
Wins
33
Played
1011

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Rayo Vallecano4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctRayo Vallecano3 – 0Celta VigoW
  • 27 OctRecreativo Huelva2 – 3Rayo VallecanoW
  • 24 OctRayo Vallecano0 – 3ElcheL
  • 19 OctGetafe1 – 1Rayo VallecanoD
  • 19 SeptOsasuna1 – 1Rayo VallecanoD
  • 15 SeptRayo Vallecano2 – 1EspanyolW
  • 12 SeptReal Madrid4 – 1Rayo VallecanoL
  • 5 SeptRayo Vallecano3 – 2Racing SantanderW
  • 31 AugBarcelona5 – 2Rayo VallecanoL
Alaves2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 31 OctBarcelona6 – 1AlavesL
  • 23 OctAlaves1 – 1MalagaD
  • 18 OctCelta Vigo2 – 1AlavesL
  • 10 OctAlaves1 – 2Atletico MadridL
  • 19 SeptAthletic Club0 – 0AlavesD
  • 15 SeptAlaves0 – 1ValenciaL
  • 12 SeptRacing Santander2 – 1AlavesL
  • 6 SeptAlaves5 – 2OsasunaW
  • 28 AugAlaves1 – 0VillarrealW
H2H
Head to headRayo Vallecano 6W · 0D · Alaves 3W · 1.7 goals a game
  • 23 MayAlaves1 – 2Rayo Vallecano
  • 14 JanAlaves2 – 0Rayo Vallecano
  • 26 OctRayo Vallecano1 – 0Alaves
  • 29 MarAlaves0 – 2Rayo Vallecano
  • 26 OctRayo Vallecano1 – 0Alaves
  • 10 MarAlaves1 – 0Rayo Vallecano
  • 15 SeptRayo Vallecano2 – 0Alaves
  • 16 AprAlaves1 – 0Rayo Vallecano
  • 18 DecRayo Vallecano2 – 0Alaves

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Rayo Vallecano2.34
Draw3.17
Alaves3.68

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Rayo Vallecano

Chance42.1%
Odds2.34

Draw

Chance31.1%
Odds3.17

Alaves

Chance26.8%
Odds3.68

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 3.68

Rayo VallecanoAlaves
Recent form64%36%
Attack60%40%
Defence43%57%
Goals model60%40%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall61%39%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Rayo Vallecano scored 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Rayo Vallecano conceded 2.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · La Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Thu, 20 Aug 2026

Rayo Vallecano meet Alaves in the Spain, La Liga on 20 August 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Rayo Vallecano at 2.34. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 20 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves?

Rayo Vallecano is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.34. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.