Match dossier

QPR vs Derby Predictions

England · Championship · Wed, 14 Oct 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · ChampionshipWed, 14 Oct 2026

QPR

11th in table · 21 pts

DLWLD

Wed, 14 Oct 202619:45

4 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 1.5 · 1.19

Derby

23rd in table · 7 pts

DLDLL

Pre-match win probability

53.5%QPR24.6%Draw21.9%Derby

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · QPR

QPR vs Derby listed tip from the board.

Odds1.19
Confidence84.03%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • QPR 53.5%
  • Draw 24.6%
  • Derby 21.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.1984%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.1048%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.2878%Won
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.3375%Lost

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

QPRDerby
Goals scored (avg)
1.20.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.42
Wins
51
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

QPR1W 5D 3L in last 9
  • 3 NovQPR1 – 1BurnleyD
  • 31 OctSouthampton4 – 1QPRL
  • 24 OctQPR5 – 0SwanseaW
  • 17 OctBirmingham3 – 0QPRL
  • 9 OctWest Ham1 – 1QPRD
  • 19 SeptQPR2 – 2PrestonD
  • 12 SeptWest Brom1 – 1QPRD
  • 9 SeptCharlton0 – 0QPRD
  • 5 SeptQPR0 – 1MiddlesbroughL
Derby0W 3D 6L in last 9
  • 3 NovDerby0 – 4NorwichL
  • 31 OctMillwall4 – 1DerbyL
  • 24 OctSheffield Utd1 – 1DerbyD
  • 17 OctDerby0 – 1Stoke CityL
  • 10 OctDerby1 – 1WrexhamD
  • 19 SeptBurnley1 – 1DerbyD
  • 12 SeptDerby1 – 2BirminghamL
  • 9 SeptDerby0 – 1West BromL
  • 5 SeptWest Ham3 – 0DerbyL
H2H
Head to headQPR 5W · 0D · Derby 4W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 25 AprQPR2 – 3Derby
  • 25 OctDerby1 – 0QPR
  • 14 FebQPR4 – 0Derby
  • 5 OctDerby2 – 0QPR
  • 18 AprQPR1 – 0Derby
  • 29 NovDerby1 – 2QPR
  • 23 JanQPR0 – 1Derby
  • 4 NovDerby0 – 1QPR
  • 25 FebQPR2 – 1Derby

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

QPR1.75
Draw3.8
Derby4.27

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

QPR

Chance53.5%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance24.6%
Odds3.8

Derby

Chance21.9%
Odds4.27

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.19

QPRDerby
Recent form73%27%
Attack67%33%
Defence62%38%
Goals model67%33%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall71%29%

Trends

Trend · Championship

QPR scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

QPR conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

QPR vs Derby: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Wed, 14 Oct 2026

QPR meet Derby in the England, Championship on 14 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is QPR at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

QPR vs Derby FAQs

4 questions

What time is the QPR vs Derby match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 14 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for QPR vs Derby?

QPR is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.