Match dossier

Portsmouth vs Derby Predictions

England · Championship · Tue, 1 Sept 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · ChampionshipTue, 1 Sept 2026

Portsmouth

10th in table · 22 pts

WDWDW

Tue, 1 Sept 202619:45

0 : 2

Full timeTip: X · 3.28

Derby

23rd in table · 7 pts

LLDLL

Pre-match win probability

42.4%Portsmouth28.5%Draw29.1%Derby

Our prediction

X · Portsmouth

Portsmouth vs Derby listed tip from the board.

Odds3.28
Confidence65.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Portsmouth 42.4%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • Derby 29.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • DrawsXOdds 3.2865%Lost
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.7557%Lost
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.9851%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.4840%Lost
  • Correct Score Tips2-2Odds 12.008%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.6262%Lost

Season statistics

Championship · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PortsmouthDerby
Goals scored (avg)
1.40.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.82.2
Wins
61
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Portsmouth5W 4D 1L in last 10
  • 3 NovPortsmouth3 – 1SwanseaW
  • 31 OctBurnley0 – 0PortsmouthD
  • 24 OctPortsmouth2 – 1MillwallW
  • 20 OctWolves1 – 1PortsmouthD
  • 17 OctNorwich0 – 1PortsmouthW
  • 14 OctPortsmouth3 – 2Sheffield UtdW
  • 11 OctSouthampton1 – 0PortsmouthL
  • 19 SeptPortsmouth2 – 2BlackburnD
  • 12 SeptCharlton0 – 0PortsmouthD
  • 5 SeptPortsmouth2 – 0CardiffW
Derby0W 3D 7L in last 10
  • 3 NovDerby0 – 4NorwichL
  • 31 OctMillwall4 – 1DerbyL
  • 24 OctSheffield Utd1 – 1DerbyD
  • 17 OctDerby0 – 1Stoke CityL
  • 14 OctQPR4 – 1DerbyL
  • 10 OctDerby1 – 1WrexhamD
  • 19 SeptBurnley1 – 1DerbyD
  • 12 SeptDerby1 – 2BirminghamL
  • 9 SeptDerby0 – 1West BromL
  • 5 SeptWest Ham3 – 0DerbyL
H2H
Head to headPortsmouth 1W · 6D · Derby 2W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 16 MarPortsmouth0 – 1Derby
  • 20 DecDerby1 – 1Portsmouth
  • 12 AprPortsmouth2 – 2Derby
  • 13 DecDerby4 – 0Portsmouth
  • 2 AprPortsmouth2 – 2Derby
  • 16 SeptDerby1 – 1Portsmouth
  • 29 AprDerby1 – 1Portsmouth
  • 18 NovPortsmouth0 – 0Derby
  • 12 AugPortsmouth2 – 1Derby

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Portsmouth2.21
Draw3.28
Derby3.22

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Portsmouth

Chance42.4%
Odds2.21

Draw

Chance28.5%
Odds3.28

Derby

Chance29.1%
Odds3.22

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.28

PortsmouthDerby
Recent form86%14%
Attack70%30%
Defence73%27%
Goals model70%30%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall59%41%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Portsmouth scored 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Championship

Portsmouth conceded 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Portsmouth vs Derby: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Tue, 1 Sept 2026

Portsmouth meet Derby in the England, Championship on 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Portsmouth at 2.21. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Portsmouth vs Derby FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Portsmouth vs Derby match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 1 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Portsmouth vs Derby?

Portsmouth is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.21. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.