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Police vs UPDF Predictions

Uganda · Premier League · Thu, 10 Sept 2026 · 14:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Uganda · Premier LeagueThu, 10 Sept 2026

Police

6th in table · 15 pts

LDWWD

Thu, 10 Sept 202614:00

0 : 0

Full timeTip: Over 1.5 · 1.28

UPDF

14th in table · 8 pts

WLLLL

Pre-match win probability

52.8%Police26.7%Draw20.5%UPDF

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Police

Police vs UPDF listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence78.13%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Police 52.8%
  • Draw 26.7%
  • UPDF 20.5%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2878%Lost
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.2679%Won
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3872%Lost

Season statistics

Premier League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PoliceUPDF
Goals scored (avg)
1.10.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41
Wins
42
Played
109

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Police4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 3 NovPolice1 – 1KitaraD
  • 30 OctKataka1 – 2PoliceW
  • 27 OctPolice3 – 1Kigezi HomeBoyzW
  • 23 OctVipers0 – 0PoliceD
  • 14 OctPolice1 – 6SC VillaL
  • 9 OctEntebbe UPPC3 – 0PoliceL
  • 16 SeptLugazi0 – 2PoliceW
  • 2 SeptBlacks Power1 – 0PoliceL
  • 29 AugPolice1 – 0Mbarara CityW
UPDF2W 1D 5L in last 8
  • 3 NovNEC1 – 0UPDFL
  • 31 OctUPDF0 – 1KitaraL
  • 27 OctUPDF0 – 1URAL
  • 18 OctUPDF0 – 2BULL
  • 15 OctExpress1 – 2UPDFW
  • 17 SeptUPDF1 – 0MaroonsW
  • 1 SeptEntebbe UPPC2 – 1UPDFL
  • 29 AugUPDF0 – 0KatakaD
H2H
Head to headPolice 5W · 2D · UPDF 2W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 29 AprPolice2 – 0UPDF
  • 6 NovUPDF1 – 2Police
  • 15 MayPolice1 – 0UPDF
  • 27 NovUPDF2 – 2Police
  • 10 FebPolice2 – 2UPDF
  • 4 JanUPDF0 – 1Police
  • 14 AprPolice3 – 0UPDF
  • 19 DecUPDF1 – 0Police
  • 20 FebPolice1 – 2UPDF

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Police1.72
Draw3.4
UPDF4.42

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Police

Chance52.8%
Odds1.72

Draw

Chance26.7%
Odds3.4

UPDF

Chance20.5%
Odds4.42

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.28

PoliceUPDF
Recent form67%33%
Attack69%31%
Defence44%56%
Goals model69%31%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall72%28%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Police scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Police conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Police vs UPDF: prediction & preview

Uganda · Premier League · Thu, 10 Sept 2026

Police meet UPDF in the Uganda, Premier League on 10 September 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Police at 1.72. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Police vs UPDF FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Police vs UPDF match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 10 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Police vs UPDF?

Police is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.72. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.