Match dossier

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Predictions

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 12 Sept 2026 · 22:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 12 Sept 2026

Palmeiras

2nd in table · 70 pts

WLWDW

Sat, 12 Sept 202622:30

vs

Not startedTip: Over 2.0 · 2.47

Sao Paulo

10th in table · 43 pts

LWWDL

Pre-match win probability

57.5%Palmeiras24.9%Draw17.6%Sao Paulo

Our prediction

Over 2.0 · Palmeiras

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo listed tip from the board.

Odds2.47
Confidence40.49%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Palmeiras 57.5%
  • Draw 24.9%
  • Sao Paulo 17.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.4740%Pending
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.4071%Pending
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.0848%Pending

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PalmeirasSao Paulo
Goals scored (avg)
1.41
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.61.2
Wins
2012
Played
3333

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Palmeiras6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 1 NovPalmeiras1 – 0Vasco DA GamaW
  • 28 OctSantos0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 24 OctPalmeiras2 – 0RB BragantinoW
  • 22 OctPalmeiras0 – 1FluminenseL
  • 17 OctAtletico Paranaense0 – 2PalmeirasW
  • 15 OctFluminense1 – 2PalmeirasW
  • 11 OctPalmeiras4 – 1CorinthiansW
  • 9 OctPalmeiras1 – 0BahiaW
  • 20 SeptGremio0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 16 SeptLDU de Quito3 – 2PalmeirasL
Sao Paulo3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 29 OctBahia3 – 2Sao PauloL
  • 24 OctMirassol1 – 1Sao PauloD
  • 18 OctSao Paulo1 – 0Vasco DA GamaW
  • 11 OctSao Paulo2 – 1VitoriaW
  • 8 OctCruzeiro2 – 0Sao PauloL
  • 3 OctSao Paulo1 – 2SantosL
  • 20 SeptSao Paulo1 – 0InternacionalW
  • 16 SeptSao Paulo1 – 1Boca JuniorsD
  • 9 SeptBoca Juniors1 – 0Sao PauloL
H2H
Head to headPalmeiras 7W · 2D · Sao Paulo 0W · 2 goals a game
  • 22 MarSao Paulo0 – 1Palmeiras
  • 2 MarPalmeiras2 – 1Sao Paulo
  • 24 JanPalmeiras3 – 1Sao Paulo
  • 5 OctSao Paulo2 – 3Palmeiras
  • 11 MayPalmeiras1 – 0Sao Paulo
  • 11 MarPalmeiras1 – 0Sao Paulo
  • 16 FebPalmeiras0 – 0Sao Paulo
  • 18 AugPalmeiras2 – 1Sao Paulo
  • 30 AprSao Paulo0 – 0Palmeiras

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Palmeiras1.67
Draw3.86
Sao Paulo5.45

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Palmeiras

Chance57.5%
Odds1.67

Draw

Chance24.9%
Odds3.86

Sao Paulo

Chance17.6%
Odds5.45

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 2.0 at 2.47

PalmeirasSao Paulo
Recent form65%35%
Attack58%42%
Defence57%43%
Goals model58%42%
Head-to-head89%11%
Overall77%23%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Palmeiras scored 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Palmeiras conceded 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 10.

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Palmeiras meet Sao Paulo in the Brazil, Serie A on 12 September 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Palmeiras at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo match?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo?

Palmeiras is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.