Match dossier

Padova vs Carrarese Predictions

Italy · Serie B · Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 16:15 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Italy · Serie BSun, 11 Oct 2026

Padova

9th in table · 14 pts

LLWWD

Sun, 11 Oct 202616:15

0 : 2

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.20

Carrarese

15th in table · 10 pts

LWLWL

Pre-match win probability

49.4%Padova28%Draw22.6%Carrarese

Our prediction

1X · Padova

Padova vs Carrarese listed tip from the board.

Odds1.20
Confidence83.33%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Padova 49.4%
  • Draw 28%
  • Carrarese 22.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2083%Lost
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2282%Won
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.3375%Won
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3674%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.9034%Lost

Season statistics

Serie B · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PadovaCarrarese
Goals scored (avg)
1.10.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.4
Wins
43
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Padova4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctCatanzaro1 – 1PadovaD
  • 27 OctPadova2 – 0SudtirolW
  • 24 OctAvellino0 – 1PadovaW
  • 17 OctPadova1 – 2Virtus EntellaL
  • 19 SeptPalermo2 – 1PadovaL
  • 12 SeptPadova1 – 0AscoliW
  • 6 SeptCremonese3 – 1PadovaL
  • 29 AugPadova1 – 1Hellas VeronaD
  • 23 AugPisa0 – 1PadovaW
Carrarese2W 1D 6L in last 9
  • 1 NovHellas Verona3 – 0CarrareseL
  • 28 OctCarrarese2 – 1ArezzoW
  • 25 OctPalermo2 – 1CarrareseL
  • 17 OctCarrarese2 – 1ModenaW
  • 19 SeptCarrarese0 – 1BeneventoL
  • 12 SeptCatanzaro1 – 0CarrareseL
  • 5 SeptCarrarese0 – 1EmpoliL
  • 29 AugAscoli1 – 1CarrareseD
  • 22 AugCarrarese1 – 2MantovaL
H2H
Head to headPadova 1W · 1D · Carrarese 0W · 0.5 goals a game
  • 10 FebPadova1 – 0Carrarese
  • 31 AugCarrarese0 – 0Padova

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Padova1.89
Draw3.34
Carrarese4.14

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Padova

Chance49.4%
Odds1.89

Draw

Chance28%
Odds3.34

Carrarese

Chance22.6%
Odds4.14

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.20

PadovaCarrarese
Recent form67%33%
Attack58%42%
Defence56%44%
Goals model58%42%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall69%31%

Trends

Trend · Serie B

Padova scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie B

Padova conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie B

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Serie B

Over 2.5 goals in 3 of those 9.

Padova vs Carrarese: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie B · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Padova meet Carrarese in the Italy, Serie B on 11 October 2026 at 16:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Padova at 1.89. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Padova vs Carrarese FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Padova vs Carrarese match?

Kickoff is 16:15 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Padova vs Carrarese?

Padova is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.89. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.