Match dossier

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Predictions

England · Premier League · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 17:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Newcastle

13th in table · 11 pts

WLWLL

Sat, 17 Oct 202617:30

0 : 1

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.40

Aston Villa

10th in table · 12 pts

WWLDL

Pre-match win probability

43.6%Newcastle25.5%Draw31%Aston Villa

Our prediction

1X · Newcastle

Newcastle vs Aston Villa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.40
Confidence71.43%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Newcastle 43.6%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • Aston Villa 31%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.4071%Lost
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.5166%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.4441%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.6760%Lost
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.6262%Lost

Season statistics

Premier League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NewcastleAston Villa
Goals scored (avg)
1.32.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.6
Wins
33
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Newcastle4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 2 NovNewcastle0 – 1EvertonL
  • 29 OctEverton3 – 1NewcastleL
  • 25 OctCrystal Palace0 – 2NewcastleW
  • 12 OctCoventry4 – 1NewcastleL
  • 19 SeptNewcastle2 – 1Hull CityW
  • 14 SeptLeeds4 – 1NewcastleL
  • 8 SeptMillwall0 – 1NewcastleW
  • 5 SeptNewcastle2 – 2BournemouthD
  • 29 AugTottenham0 – 2NewcastleW
Aston Villa5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 3 NovBarcelona3 – 0Aston VillaL
  • 31 OctAston Villa1 – 1FulhamD
  • 28 OctBournemouth3 – 0Aston VillaL
  • 24 OctAston Villa2 – 1Manchester CityW
  • 21 OctAston Villa3 – 1VikingW
  • 14 OctAston Villa6 – 0FenerbahçeW
  • 10 OctAston Villa2 – 2BrentfordD
  • 2 OctSevilla1 – 3Aston VillaW
  • 19 SeptTottenham2 – 3Aston VillaW
H2H
Head to headNewcastle 4W · 2D · Aston Villa 3W · 3.7 goals a game
  • 14 FebAston Villa1 – 3Newcastle
  • 25 JanNewcastle0 – 2Aston Villa
  • 16 AugAston Villa0 – 0Newcastle
  • 19 AprAston Villa4 – 1Newcastle
  • 26 DecNewcastle3 – 0Aston Villa
  • 30 JanAston Villa1 – 3Newcastle
  • 12 AugNewcastle5 – 1Aston Villa
  • 24 JulNewcastle3 – 3Aston Villa
  • 15 AprAston Villa3 – 0Newcastle

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Newcastle2.26
Draw3.86
Aston Villa3.18

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Newcastle

Chance43.6%
Odds2.26

Draw

Chance25.5%
Odds3.86

Aston Villa

Chance31%
Odds3.18

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.40

NewcastleAston Villa
Recent form43%57%
Attack37%63%
Defence48%52%
Goals model37%63%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall58%42%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Newcastle scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Newcastle conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Newcastle meet Aston Villa in the England, Premier League on 17 October 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Newcastle at 2.26. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Newcastle vs Aston Villa match?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Newcastle vs Aston Villa?

Newcastle is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.26. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.