Match dossier

Netherlands vs Germany Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Thu, 24 Sept 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Netherlands

1st in table · 8 pts

WDWDW

Thu, 24 Sept 202619:45

1 : 1

Full timeTip: X · 3.86

Germany

3rd in table · 5 pts

LDLWD

Pre-match win probability

39.9%Netherlands25.4%Draw34.7%Germany

Our prediction

X · Netherlands

Netherlands vs Germany listed tip from the board.

Odds3.86
Confidence61.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Netherlands 39.9%
  • Draw 25.4%
  • Germany 34.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • DrawsXOdds 3.8661%Won
  • Correct Score Tips0-0Odds 20.005%Lost

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NetherlandsGermany
Goals scored (avg)
2.12.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.20.8
Wins
21
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Netherlands5W 3D 1L in last 9
  • 4 OctNetherlands2 – 1SerbiaW
  • 1 OctGreece2 – 2NetherlandsD
  • 27 SeptSerbia1 – 2NetherlandsW
  • 30 JunNetherlands1 – 1MoroccoD
  • 26 JunTunisia1 – 3NetherlandsW
  • 20 JunNetherlands5 – 1SwedenW
  • 14 JunNetherlands2 – 2JapanD
  • 8 JunNetherlands2 – 1UzbekistanW
  • 3 JunNetherlands0 – 1AlgeriaL
Germany5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 4 OctGreece0 – 0GermanyD
  • 1 OctGermany2 – 0SerbiaW
  • 27 SeptGermany0 – 1GreeceL
  • 29 JunGermany1 – 1ParaguayD
  • 25 JunEcuador2 – 1GermanyL
  • 20 JunGermany2 – 1Ivory CoastW
  • 14 JunGermany7 – 1CuraçaoW
  • 6 JunUSA1 – 2GermanyW
  • 31 MayGermany4 – 0FinlandW
H2H
Head to headNetherlands 2W · 3D · Germany 4W · 3.4 goals a game
  • 14 OctGermany1 – 0Netherlands
  • 10 SeptNetherlands2 – 2Germany
  • 26 MarGermany2 – 1Netherlands
  • 29 MarNetherlands1 – 1Germany
  • 6 SeptGermany2 – 4Netherlands
  • 24 MarNetherlands2 – 3Germany
  • 19 NovGermany2 – 2Netherlands
  • 13 OctNetherlands3 – 0Germany
  • 13 JunNetherlands1 – 2Germany

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Netherlands2.43
Draw3.82
Germany2.79

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Netherlands

Chance39.9%
Odds2.43

Draw

Chance25.4%
Odds3.82

Germany

Chance34.7%
Odds2.79

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.86

NetherlandsGermany
Recent form51%49%
Attack50%50%
Defence45%55%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head39%61%
Overall53%47%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Netherlands scored 2.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Netherlands conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Netherlands vs Germany: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Thu, 24 Sept 2026

Netherlands meet Germany in the World, UEFA Nations League on 24 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Netherlands at 2.43. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Netherlands vs Germany FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Netherlands vs Germany match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 24 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Netherlands vs Germany?

Netherlands is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.43. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.