Match dossier

Negelle Arsi vs Adama Kenema Predictions

Ethiopia · Premier League · Mon, 26 Oct 2026 · 13:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Negelle Arsi

1st in table · 11 pts

LDDWW

Mon, 26 Oct 202613:00

1 : 0

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.23

Adama Kenema

10th in table · 6 pts

WWDDD

Pre-match win probability

37.1%Negelle Arsi36.2%Draw26.7%Adama Kenema

Our prediction

1X · Negelle Arsi

Negelle Arsi vs Adama Kenema listed tip from the board.

Odds1.23
Confidence37.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Negelle Arsi 37.1%
  • Draw 36.2%
  • Adama Kenema 26.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • free1XOdds 1.23Won
  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2381%Won

Season statistics

Premier League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Negelle ArsiAdama Kenema
Goals scored (avg)
1.20.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.80.8
Wins
31
Played
55

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Negelle Arsi4W 4D 1L in last 9
  • 30 OctSheger Ketema1 – 2Negelle ArsiW
  • 21 OctEthiopia Bunna0 – 3Negelle ArsiW
  • 16 OctMebrat Hayl0 – 0Negelle ArsiD
  • 10 OctKedus Giorgis1 – 1Negelle ArsiD
  • 1 JulMekelle Kenema3 – 0Negelle ArsiL
  • 26 JunNegelle Arsi2 – 0Ethiopia Nigd BankW
  • 20 JunSidama Bunna1 – 1Negelle ArsiD
  • 15 JunNegelle Arsi2 – 1Awassa KenemaW
  • 4 JunWelayta Dicha0 – 0Negelle ArsiD
Adama Kenema3W 4D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctEthiopia Bunna0 – 0Adama KenemaD
  • 22 OctKedus Giorgis1 – 1Adama KenemaD
  • 16 OctAdama Kenema0 – 0Sheger KetemaD
  • 9 OctMebrat Hayl0 – 1Adama KenemaW
  • 2 JulAwassa Kenema2 – 3Adama KenemaW
  • 28 JunAdama Kenema0 – 2Welayta DichaL
  • 21 JunMekelle Kenema0 – 0Adama KenemaD
  • 15 JunAdama Kenema2 – 1Ethiopia Nigd BankW
  • 30 MaySidama Bunna1 – 0Adama KenemaL
H2H
Head to headNegelle Arsi 2W · 0D · Adama Kenema 0W · 3 goals a game
  • 5 AprAdama Kenema1 – 2Negelle Arsi
  • 20 NovNegelle Arsi2 – 1Adama Kenema

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Negelle Arsi2.43
Draw2.49
Adama Kenema3.38

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Negelle Arsi

Chance37.1%
Odds2.43

Draw

Chance36.2%
Odds2.49

Adama Kenema

Chance26.7%
Odds3.38

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.23

Negelle ArsiAdama Kenema
Recent form55%45%
Attack60%40%
Defence50%50%
Goals model60%40%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall58%42%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Negelle Arsi scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Negelle Arsi conceded 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Negelle Arsi vs Adama Kenema: prediction & preview

Ethiopia · Premier League · Mon, 26 Oct 2026

Negelle Arsi meet Adama Kenema in the Ethiopia, Premier League on 26 October 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Negelle Arsi at 2.43. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Negelle Arsi vs Adama Kenema FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Negelle Arsi vs Adama Kenema match?

Kickoff is 13:00 on 26 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Negelle Arsi vs Adama Kenema?

Negelle Arsi is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.43. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.