Match dossier

Nacional vs Famalicao Predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 19 Sept 2026 · 15:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 19 Sept 2026

Nacional

15th in table · 7 pts

LLLWL

Sat, 19 Sept 202615:30

0 : 4

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.29

Famalicao

11th in table · 10 pts

LLWDL

Pre-match win probability

26%Nacional28.2%Draw45.8%Famalicao

Our prediction

X2 · Nacional

Nacional vs Famalicao listed tip from the board.

Odds1.29
Confidence77.52%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nacional 26%
  • Draw 28.2%
  • Famalicao 45.8%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.2978%Won
  • corners ouOver 7Odds 1.2779%Lost

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NacionalFamalicao
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.6
Wins
22
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Nacional2W 0D 7L in last 9
  • 1 NovArouca1 – 0NacionalL
  • 25 OctNacional1 – 0SC BragaW
  • 17 OctSanjoanense1 – 0NacionalL
  • 11 OctRio Ave3 – 2NacionalL
  • 12 SeptNacional1 – 3AlvercaL
  • 5 SeptSporting CP2 – 0NacionalL
  • 30 AugNacional2 – 3EstrelaL
  • 23 AugVitória SC1 – 0NacionalL
  • 16 AugNacional2 – 0EstorilW
Famalicao1W 4D 4L in last 9
  • 1 NovSC Braga3 – 0FamalicaoL
  • 29 OctSC Braga2 – 2FamalicaoD
  • 25 OctRio Ave0 – 4FamalicaoW
  • 18 OctParedes1 – 0FamalicaoL
  • 12 OctFamalicao1 – 4AlvercaL
  • 13 SeptFamalicao1 – 1Sporting CPD
  • 5 SeptEstrela2 – 2FamalicaoD
  • 30 AugFamalicao0 – 0GIL VicenteD
  • 23 AugSanta Clara1 – 0FamalicaoL
H2H
Head to headNacional 3W · 1D · Famalicao 4W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 21 MarFamalicao1 – 0Nacional
  • 1 NovNacional0 – 1Famalicao
  • 1 MarNacional2 – 1Famalicao
  • 29 SeptFamalicao0 – 0Nacional
  • 16 MayFamalicao3 – 0Nacional
  • 30 JanNacional2 – 1Famalicao
  • 4 FebFamalicao3 – 2Nacional
  • 23 AugNacional3 – 0Famalicao

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Nacional3.73
Draw3.44
Famalicao2.12

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Nacional

Chance26%
Odds3.73

Draw

Chance28.2%
Odds3.44

Famalicao

Chance45.8%
Odds2.12

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.29

NacionalFamalicao
Recent form46%54%
Attack45%55%
Defence50%50%
Goals model45%55%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall36%64%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Nacional scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Nacional conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Nacional vs Famalicao: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

Nacional meet Famalicao in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 19 September 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Famalicao at 2.12. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nacional vs Famalicao FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Nacional vs Famalicao match?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 19 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Nacional vs Famalicao?

Famalicao is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.12. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.