Match dossier

Nacional vs Estrela Predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 30 Aug 2026 · 15:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Nacional

15th in table · 7 pts

LLLWL

Sun, 30 Aug 202615:30

2 : 3

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.39

Estrela

12th in table · 10 pts

LLWLL

Pre-match win probability

40%Nacional29.1%Draw30.9%Estrela

Our prediction

1X · Nacional

Nacional vs Estrela listed tip from the board.

Odds1.39
Confidence71.94%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nacional 40%
  • Draw 29.1%
  • Estrela 30.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.3972%Lost
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.7258%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.6038%Lost

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NacionalEstrela
Goals scored (avg)
0.71.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.8
Wins
22
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Nacional2W 0D 7L in last 9
  • 1 NovArouca1 – 0NacionalL
  • 25 OctNacional1 – 0SC BragaW
  • 17 OctSanjoanense1 – 0NacionalL
  • 11 OctRio Ave3 – 2NacionalL
  • 19 SeptNacional0 – 4FamalicaoL
  • 12 SeptNacional1 – 3AlvercaL
  • 5 SeptSporting CP2 – 0NacionalL
  • 23 AugVitória SC1 – 0NacionalL
  • 16 AugNacional2 – 0EstorilW
Estrela2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctMoreirense2 – 1EstrelaL
  • 24 OctEstrela0 – 2Casa PiaL
  • 17 OctFazendense1 – 2EstrelaW
  • 11 OctArouca1 – 0EstrelaL
  • 20 SeptEstrela0 – 2Academico ViseuL
  • 14 SeptRio Ave3 – 3EstrelaD
  • 10 SeptEstrela2 – 1SC BragaW
  • 5 SeptEstrela2 – 2FamalicaoD
  • 15 AugAlverca2 – 2EstrelaD
H2H
Head to headNacional 3W · 2D · Estrela 4W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 23 JulEstrela2 – 0Nacional
  • 4 AprNacional2 – 0Estrela
  • 9 NovEstrela1 – 1Nacional
  • 6 AprNacional0 – 1Estrela
  • 10 NovEstrela2 – 0Nacional
  • 21 MayEstrela0 – 1Nacional
  • 15 JanNacional0 – 1Estrela
  • 16 AprEstrela0 – 0Nacional
  • 4 DecNacional4 – 1Estrela

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Nacional2.42
Draw3.33
Estrela3.14

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Nacional

Chance40%
Odds2.42

Draw

Chance29.1%
Odds3.33

Estrela

Chance30.9%
Odds3.14

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.39

NacionalEstrela
Recent form40%60%
Attack35%65%
Defence52%48%
Goals model35%65%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall56%44%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Nacional scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Nacional conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Nacional vs Estrela: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 30 Aug 2026

Nacional meet Estrela in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 30 August 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nacional at 2.42. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nacional vs Estrela FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Nacional vs Estrela match?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 30 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Nacional vs Estrela?

Nacional is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.42. The margin-adjusted share is about 40%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.