Match dossier

Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras Predictions

Brazil · Mineiro - 3 · Mon, 5 Oct 2026 · 23:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Brazil · Mineiro - 3Mon, 5 Oct 2026

Nacional AC MG

3rd in table · 10 pts

WLDDD

Mon, 5 Oct 202623:30

2 : 1

LiveTip: GG · 1.77

Nova Lavras

4th in table · 9 pts

LWWW

Pre-match win probability

52.3%Nacional AC MG24.4%Draw23.3%Nova Lavras

Our prediction

GG · Nacional AC MG

Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras listed tip from the board.

Odds1.77
Confidence56.50%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nacional AC MG 52.3%
  • Draw 24.4%
  • Nova Lavras 23.3%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.7757%Pending

Season statistics

Mineiro - 3 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Nacional AC MGNova Lavras
Goals scored (avg)
0.95
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.90.5
Wins
33
Played
55

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Nacional AC MG2W 5D 2L in last 9
  • 30 OctNacional AC MG1 – 1Venda NovaD
  • 24 OctParacatu0 – 0Nacional AC MGD
  • 17 OctNacional AC MG1 – 1Venda NovaD
  • 10 OctNovo Esporte Clube1 – 0Nacional AC MGL
  • 25 SeptInter de Minas0 – 1Nacional AC MGW
  • 21 SeptNacional AC MG3 – 0SantarritenseW
  • 21 JunValeriodoce2 – 2Nacional AC MGD
  • 14 JunNacional AC MG0 – 3North EsporteL
  • 7 JunBetim0 – 0Nacional AC MGD
Nova Lavras3W 0D 1L in last 4
  • 17 OctInter de Minas0 – 3Nova LavrasW
  • 10 OctNova Lavras13 – 0SantarritenseW
  • 26 SeptNova Lavras3 – 0Novo Esporte ClubeW
  • 19 SeptVenda Nova2 – 1Nova LavrasL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Nacional AC MG1.82
Draw3.91
Nova Lavras4.08

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Nacional AC MG

Chance52.3%
Odds1.82

Draw

Chance24.4%
Odds3.91

Nova Lavras

Chance23.3%
Odds4.08

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GG at 1.77

Nacional AC MGNova Lavras
Recent form55%45%
Attack15%85%
Defence46%54%
Goals model15%85%
Overall69%31%

Trends

Trend · Mineiro - 3

Nacional AC MG scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Mineiro - 3

Nacional AC MG conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Mineiro - 3

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Mineiro - 3

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras: prediction & preview

Brazil · Mineiro - 3 · Mon, 5 Oct 2026

Nacional AC MG meet Nova Lavras in the Brazil, Mineiro - 3 on 5 October 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nacional AC MG at 1.82. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras match?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 5 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras?

Nacional AC MG is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.82. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.