Match dossier

Morton vs Dunfermline Predictions

Scotland · Championship · Sat, 19 Sept 2026 · 15:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Scotland · ChampionshipSat, 19 Sept 2026

Morton

9th in table · 10 pts

LWWWL

Sat, 19 Sept 202615:00

0 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 6.5 · 7.11

Dunfermline

3rd in table · 24 pts

DWWWW

Pre-match win probability

20.6%Morton24.9%Draw54.5%Dunfermline

Our prediction

Over 6.5 · Morton

Morton vs Dunfermline listed tip from the board.

Odds7.11
Confidence14.06%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Morton 20.6%
  • Draw 24.9%
  • Dunfermline 54.5%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 7.1114%Lost

Season statistics

Championship · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MortonDunfermline
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.81
Wins
36
Played
1213

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Morton3W 0D 5L in last 8
  • 3 NovMorton0 – 1Kelty HeartsL
  • 31 OctPartick2 – 3MortonW
  • 17 OctMorton2 – 0Queen's ParkW
  • 10 OctArbroath1 – 2MortonW
  • 3 OctMorton1 – 2Raith RoversL
  • 25 SeptInverness CT2 – 0MortonL
  • 11 SeptMorton1 – 4LivingstonL
  • 5 SeptQueen's Park2 – 1MortonL
Dunfermline5W 3D 1L in last 9
  • 3 NovBonnyrigg Rose Athletic2 – 4DunfermlineW
  • 31 OctDunfermline5 – 1Inverness CTW
  • 27 OctStenhousemuir0 – 1DunfermlineW
  • 24 OctQueen's Park0 – 1DunfermlineW
  • 20 OctDunfermline1 – 1PartickD
  • 17 OctDunfermline0 – 0LivingstonD
  • 10 OctAyr Utd1 – 1DunfermlineD
  • 3 OctDunfermline1 – 4AberdeenL
  • 12 SeptDunfermline2 – 0Queen's ParkW
H2H
Head to headMorton 3W · 2D · Dunfermline 4W · 1.7 goals a game
  • 4 AprDunfermline3 – 1Morton
  • 17 FebMorton2 – 0Dunfermline
  • 22 NovDunfermline1 – 0Morton
  • 2 AugMorton0 – 0Dunfermline
  • 2 MayMorton2 – 0Dunfermline
  • 1 MarDunfermline2 – 1Morton
  • 21 DecMorton2 – 0Dunfermline
  • 19 OctDunfermline0 – 0Morton
  • 23 MarMorton0 – 1Dunfermline

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Morton4.39
Draw3.64
Dunfermline1.66

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Morton

Chance20.6%
Odds4.39

Draw

Chance24.9%
Odds3.64

Dunfermline

Chance54.5%
Odds1.66

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 6.5 at 7.11

MortonDunfermline
Recent form33%67%
Attack42%58%
Defence37%63%
Goals model42%58%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall27%73%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Morton scored 1.3 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Championship

Morton conceded 1.8 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 2 of those 8.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 8.

Morton vs Dunfermline: prediction & preview

Scotland · Championship · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

Morton meet Dunfermline in the Scotland, Championship on 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Dunfermline at 1.66. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Morton vs Dunfermline FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Morton vs Dunfermline match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 19 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Morton vs Dunfermline?

Dunfermline is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.66. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.