Match dossier

Moreirense vs Estrela Predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · 16:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Moreirense

9th in table · 14 pts

WDLLW

Sat, 31 Oct 202616:30

2 : 1

Full timeTip: X · 3.36

Estrela

12th in table · 10 pts

DLLWL

Pre-match win probability

33.1%Moreirense28.9%Draw38%Estrela

Our prediction

X · Moreirense

Moreirense vs Estrela listed tip from the board.

Odds3.36
Confidence65.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Moreirense 33.1%
  • Draw 28.9%
  • Estrela 38%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • DrawsXOdds 3.3665%Lost
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.7258%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 5.0020%Lost

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MoreirenseEstrela
Goals scored (avg)
11.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.8
Wins
42
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Moreirense3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 25 OctEstoril1 – 3MoreirenseW
  • 17 OctAVS1 – 0MoreirenseL
  • 9 OctMoreirense0 – 1GIL VicenteL
  • 20 SeptVitória SC1 – 1MoreirenseD
  • 14 SeptMoreirense3 – 1MaritimoW
  • 9 SeptMoreirense0 – 4BenficaL
  • 4 SeptFC Porto2 – 1MoreirenseL
  • 30 AugCasa Pia0 – 1MoreirenseW
  • 16 AugArouca4 – 0MoreirenseL
Estrela3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 24 OctEstrela0 – 2Casa PiaL
  • 17 OctFazendense1 – 2EstrelaW
  • 11 OctArouca1 – 0EstrelaL
  • 20 SeptEstrela0 – 2Academico ViseuL
  • 14 SeptRio Ave3 – 3EstrelaD
  • 10 SeptEstrela2 – 1SC BragaW
  • 5 SeptEstrela2 – 2FamalicaoD
  • 30 AugNacional2 – 3EstrelaW
  • 15 AugAlverca2 – 2EstrelaD
H2H
Head to headMoreirense 4W · 4D · Estrela 1W · 3 goals a game
  • 2 MayMoreirense3 – 2Estrela
  • 20 DecEstrela0 – 0Moreirense
  • 2 MarMoreirense1 – 1Estrela
  • 28 SeptEstrela2 – 1Moreirense
  • 7 AprMoreirense2 – 2Estrela
  • 11 NovEstrela0 – 1Moreirense
  • 6 MayEstrela2 – 4Moreirense
  • 31 DecMoreirense0 – 0Estrela
  • 27 NovMoreirense4 – 2Estrela

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Moreirense2.93
Draw3.36
Estrela2.55

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Moreirense

Chance33.1%
Odds2.93

Draw

Chance28.9%
Odds3.36

Estrela

Chance38%
Odds2.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.36

MoreirenseEstrela
Recent form45%55%
Attack38%62%
Defence52%48%
Goals model38%62%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall47%53%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Moreirense scored 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Moreirense conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Moreirense vs Estrela: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 31 Oct 2026

Moreirense meet Estrela in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 31 October 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Estrela at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Moreirense vs Estrela FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Moreirense vs Estrela match?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 31 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Moreirense vs Estrela?

Estrela is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 38%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.