Get Premium

Match dossier

Monza vs Sassuolo Predictions

Italy · Serie A · Fri, 18 Sept 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Italy · Serie AFri, 18 Sept 2026

Monza

18th in table · 7 pts

LWLLL

Fri, 18 Sept 202619:45

2 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 1.5 · 1.19

Sassuolo

17th in table · 8 pts

DLLLL

Pre-match win probability

31.3%Monza27.6%Draw41%Sassuolo

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Monza

Monza vs Sassuolo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.19
Confidence84.03%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Monza 31.3%
  • Draw 27.6%
  • Sassuolo 41%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeOver 1.5Odds 1.1984%Won
  • DrawsXOdds 3.5667%Lost
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.5465%Won
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.1984%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.4929%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.8355%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3674%Lost

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MonzaSassuolo
Goals scored (avg)
1.81.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.32.6
Wins
22
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Monza1W 2D 6L in last 9
  • 31 OctBologna2 – 1MonzaL
  • 28 OctMonza1 – 4NapoliL
  • 23 OctTorino3 – 2MonzaL
  • 19 OctMonza4 – 0CagliariW
  • 11 OctLazio3 – 1MonzaL
  • 3 OctStade Brestois 292 – 2MonzaD
  • 26 SeptMonza2 – 3CremoneseL
  • 13 SeptLecce3 – 2MonzaL
  • 6 SeptParma1 – 1MonzaD
Sassuolo2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 2 NovSassuolo2 – 4FiorentinaL
  • 27 OctSassuolo2 – 6LazioL
  • 24 OctComo2 – 0SassuoloL
  • 16 OctFrosinone4 – 2SassuoloL
  • 11 OctSassuolo1 – 1AC MilanD
  • 13 SeptSassuolo3 – 2JuventusW
  • 6 SeptBologna2 – 2SassuoloD
  • 2 SeptSassuolo1 – 1FrosinoneD
  • 29 AugSassuolo2 – 1TorinoW
H2H
Head to headMonza 3W · 2D · Sassuolo 0W · 2.2 goals a game
  • 3 AugMonza2 – 2Sassuolo
  • 28 JanMonza1 – 0Sassuolo
  • 2 OctSassuolo0 – 1Monza
  • 19 MaySassuolo1 – 2Monza
  • 22 JanMonza1 – 1Sassuolo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Monza3.14
Draw3.56
Sassuolo2.4

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Monza

Chance31.3%
Odds3.14

Draw

Chance27.6%
Odds3.56

Sassuolo

Chance41%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.19

MonzaSassuolo
Recent form36%64%
Attack51%49%
Defence64%36%
Goals model51%49%
Head-to-head80%20%
Overall43%57%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Monza scored 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Monza conceded 2.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of those 9.

Monza vs Sassuolo: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Fri, 18 Sept 2026

Monza meet Sassuolo in the Italy, Serie A on 18 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sassuolo at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Monza vs Sassuolo FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Monza vs Sassuolo match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 18 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Monza vs Sassuolo?

Sassuolo is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 41%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.