Match dossier

Monza vs Napoli Predictions

Italy · Serie A · Wed, 28 Oct 2026 · 20:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Italy · Serie AWed, 28 Oct 2026

Monza

18th in table · 7 pts

DLWLL

Wed, 28 Oct 202620:45

1 : 4

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.24

Napoli

8th in table · 14 pts

LLWDL

Pre-match win probability

21.7%Monza24.2%Draw54.1%Napoli

Our prediction

X2 · Monza

Monza vs Napoli listed tip from the board.

Odds1.24
Confidence80.65%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Monza 21.7%
  • Draw 24.2%
  • Napoli 54.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.2481%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6262%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 7.5013%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.6262%Lost

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MonzaNapoli
Goals scored (avg)
1.91.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
21.6
Wins
24
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Monza2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 31 OctBologna2 – 1MonzaL
  • 23 OctTorino3 – 2MonzaL
  • 19 OctMonza4 – 0CagliariW
  • 11 OctLazio3 – 1MonzaL
  • 3 OctStade Brestois 292 – 2MonzaD
  • 26 SeptMonza2 – 3CremoneseL
  • 18 SeptMonza2 – 1SassuoloW
  • 13 SeptLecce3 – 2MonzaL
  • 6 SeptParma1 – 1MonzaD
Napoli3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 1 NovJuventus2 – 0NapoliL
  • 24 OctNapoli3 – 3AS RomaD
  • 20 OctNapoli4 – 3Bodo/GlimtW
  • 17 OctVenezia1 – 0NapoliL
  • 13 OctVillarreal3 – 1NapoliL
  • 10 OctNapoli3 – 0FrosinoneW
  • 20 SeptFiorentina1 – 1NapoliD
  • 13 SeptNapoli1 – 0BolognaW
  • 9 SeptNapoli0 – 1ArsenalL
H2H
Head to headMonza 1W · 1D · Napoli 4W · 2.5 goals a game
  • 19 AprMonza0 – 1Napoli
  • 29 SeptNapoli2 – 0Monza
  • 7 AprMonza2 – 4Napoli
  • 29 DecNapoli0 – 0Monza
  • 14 MayMonza2 – 0Napoli
  • 21 AugNapoli4 – 0Monza

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Monza4.53
Draw4.06
Napoli1.82

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Monza

Chance21.7%
Odds4.53

Draw

Chance24.2%
Odds4.06

Napoli

Chance54.1%
Odds1.82

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.24

MonzaNapoli
Recent form42%58%
Attack58%42%
Defence42%58%
Goals model58%42%
Head-to-head25%75%
Overall29%71%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Monza scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Monza conceded 2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of those 9.

Monza vs Napoli: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Wed, 28 Oct 2026

Monza meet Napoli in the Italy, Serie A on 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Napoli at 1.82. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Monza vs Napoli FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Monza vs Napoli match?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 28 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Monza vs Napoli?

Napoli is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.82. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.