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Montpellier vs PAU Predictions

France · Ligue 2 · Fri, 11 Sept 2026 · 19:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

France · Ligue 2Fri, 11 Sept 2026

Montpellier

2nd in table · 24 pts

DWWWW

Fri, 11 Sept 202619:00

1 : 0

Full timeTip: 2 · 4.28

PAU

5th in table · 20 pts

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

50.6%Montpellier27.2%Draw22.1%PAU

Our prediction

2 · Montpellier

Montpellier vs PAU listed tip from the board.

Odds4.28
Confidence23.36%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Montpellier 50.6%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • PAU 22.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Away Win2Odds 4.2823%Lost

Season statistics

Ligue 2 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MontpellierPAU
Goals scored (avg)
1.62
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.61.2
Wins
76
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Montpellier6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctAnnecy0 – 3MontpellierW
  • 26 OctMontpellier2 – 1RED Star FC 93W
  • 19 OctRodez0 – 3MontpellierW
  • 9 OctMontpellier2 – 0GrenobleW
  • 18 SeptReims1 – 1MontpellierD
  • 5 SeptSaint Etienne3 – 1MontpellierL
  • 28 AugMontpellier0 – 0BoulogneD
  • 21 AugDunkerque0 – 1MontpellierW
  • 14 AugNancy0 – 1MontpellierW
PAU6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 30 OctMetz1 – 3PAUW
  • 23 OctPAU2 – 1GrenobleW
  • 16 OctGuingamp1 – 2PAUW
  • 9 OctPAU3 – 2LavalW
  • 3 OctToulouse2 – 3PAUW
  • 18 SeptPAU2 – 0DunkerqueW
  • 4 SeptPAU1 – 1SochauxD
  • 28 AugRodez2 – 2PAUD
  • 21 AugPAU0 – 1NancyL
H2H
Head to headMontpellier 0W · 1D · PAU 2W · 1.3 goals a game
  • 20 MarPAU0 – 0Montpellier
  • 6 DecMontpellier0 – 1PAU
  • 6 JanPAU2 – 1Montpellier

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Montpellier1.85
Draw3.44
PAU4.23

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Montpellier

Chance50.6%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance27.2%
Odds3.44

PAU

Chance22.1%
Odds4.23

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 4.28

MontpellierPAU
Recent form50%50%
Attack44%56%
Defence57%43%
Goals model44%56%
Head-to-head17%83%
Overall70%30%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 2

Montpellier scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 2

Montpellier conceded 0.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 2

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Ligue 2

Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 9.

Montpellier vs PAU: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 2 · Fri, 11 Sept 2026

Montpellier meet PAU in the France, Ligue 2 on 11 September 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Montpellier at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Montpellier vs PAU FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Montpellier vs PAU match?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 11 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Montpellier vs PAU?

Montpellier is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.