Match dossier

Millwall vs Derby Predictions

England · Championship · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · 16:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 31 Oct 2026

Millwall

13th in table · 18 pts

WLDLL

Sat, 31 Oct 202616:00

4 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 6.5 · 2.00

Derby

23rd in table · 7 pts

DLLDL

Pre-match win probability

55.7%Millwall24.3%Draw20.1%Derby

Our prediction

Over 6.5 · Millwall

Millwall vs Derby listed tip from the board.

Odds2.00
Confidence50.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Millwall 55.7%
  • Draw 24.3%
  • Derby 20.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.0050%Lost
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.3674%Won

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MillwallDerby
Goals scored (avg)
10.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.82
Wins
51
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Millwall1W 3D 5L in last 9
  • 3 NovBirmingham3 – 0MillwallL
  • 24 OctPortsmouth2 – 1MillwallL
  • 17 OctMillwall2 – 2LincolnD
  • 13 OctMillwall0 – 1SwanseaL
  • 10 OctPreston0 – 1MillwallW
  • 19 SeptMillwall2 – 2West HamD
  • 15 SeptMiddlesbrough2 – 2MillwallD
  • 12 SeptBlackburn3 – 1MillwallL
  • 8 SeptMillwall0 – 1NewcastleL
Derby0W 3D 6L in last 9
  • 3 NovDerby0 – 4NorwichL
  • 24 OctSheffield Utd1 – 1DerbyD
  • 17 OctDerby0 – 1Stoke CityL
  • 14 OctQPR4 – 1DerbyL
  • 10 OctDerby1 – 1WrexhamD
  • 19 SeptBurnley1 – 1DerbyD
  • 12 SeptDerby1 – 2BirminghamL
  • 9 SeptDerby0 – 1West BromL
  • 5 SeptWest Ham3 – 0DerbyL
H2H
Head to headMillwall 4W · 3D · Derby 2W · 2 goals a game
  • 10 MarMillwall1 – 0Derby
  • 10 DecDerby1 – 1Millwall
  • 22 FebDerby0 – 1Millwall
  • 19 OctMillwall1 – 1Derby
  • 23 FebDerby1 – 2Millwall
  • 6 NovMillwall1 – 1Derby
  • 13 MarDerby0 – 1Millwall
  • 5 DecMillwall0 – 1Derby
  • 20 JunMillwall2 – 3Derby

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Millwall1.68
Draw3.85
Derby4.66

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Millwall

Chance55.7%
Odds1.68

Draw

Chance24.3%
Odds3.85

Derby

Chance20.1%
Odds4.66

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 6.5 at 2.00

MillwallDerby
Recent form67%33%
Attack63%37%
Defence55%45%
Goals model63%37%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall73%27%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Millwall scored 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Millwall conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Millwall vs Derby: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 31 Oct 2026

Millwall meet Derby in the England, Championship on 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Millwall at 1.68. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Millwall vs Derby FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Millwall vs Derby match?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 31 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Millwall vs Derby?

Millwall is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.68. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.