Match dossier

Manchester United vs Manchester City Predictions

England · Premier League · Sun, 13 Sept 2026 · 16:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · Premier LeagueSun, 13 Sept 2026

Manchester United

17th in table · 7 pts

DLLLW

Sun, 13 Sept 202616:30

0 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 0.5 · 1.27

Manchester City

2nd in table · 21 pts

WWLDL

Pre-match win probability

29.9%Manchester United24.6%Draw45.5%Manchester City

Our prediction

Over 0.5 · Manchester United

Manchester United vs Manchester City listed tip from the board.

Odds1.27
Confidence78.74%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Manchester United 29.9%
  • Draw 24.6%
  • Manchester City 45.5%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeOver 0.5Odds 1.2779%Lost
  • Away Win2Odds 2.2345%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.4469%Lost
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.4967%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.5166%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.2779%Lost
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.5764%Won
  • Correct Score Tips2-4Odds 34.003%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 4.8721%Lost

Season statistics

Premier League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Manchester UnitedManchester City
Goals scored (avg)
12.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.11.7
Wins
17
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Manchester United1W 3D 5L in last 9
  • 3 NovManchester United3 – 2AS RomaW
  • 31 OctChelsea2 – 0Manchester UnitedL
  • 25 OctManchester United0 – 3BournemouthL
  • 21 OctComo4 – 1Manchester UnitedL
  • 18 OctLeeds1 – 1Manchester UnitedD
  • 13 OctAtletico Madrid2 – 0Manchester UnitedL
  • 10 OctManchester United1 – 1TottenhamD
  • 20 SeptFulham1 – 1Manchester UnitedD
  • 16 SeptManchester United2 – 3BrightonL
Manchester City5W 1D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctManchester City0 – 1BrightonL
  • 28 OctManchester City2 – 2BrightonD
  • 24 OctAston Villa2 – 1Manchester CityL
  • 20 OctManchester City5 – 1AEK Athens FCW
  • 17 OctManchester City3 – 2IpswichW
  • 14 OctManchester City2 – 4Paris Saint GermainL
  • 11 OctLiverpool0 – 3Manchester CityW
  • 20 SeptManchester City5 – 3SunderlandW
  • 17 SeptManchester City5 – 0NorwichW
H2H
Head to headManchester United 3W · 2D · Manchester City 4W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 17 JanManchester United2 – 0Manchester City
  • 14 SeptManchester City3 – 0Manchester United
  • 6 AprManchester United0 – 0Manchester City
  • 15 DecManchester City1 – 2Manchester United
  • 10 AugManchester City1 – 1Manchester United
  • 25 MayManchester City1 – 2Manchester United
  • 3 MarManchester City3 – 1Manchester United
  • 29 OctManchester United0 – 3Manchester City
  • 3 JunManchester City2 – 1Manchester United

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Manchester United3.29
Draw4
Manchester City2.16

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Manchester United

Chance29.9%
Odds3.29

Draw

Chance24.6%
Odds4

Manchester City

Chance45.5%
Odds2.16

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 0.5 at 1.27

Manchester UnitedManchester City
Recent form27%73%
Attack26%74%
Defence41%59%
Goals model26%74%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall40%60%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Manchester United scored 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Manchester United conceded 2.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Premier League

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of those 9.

Manchester United vs Manchester City: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 13 Sept 2026

Manchester United meet Manchester City in the England, Premier League on 13 September 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester City at 2.16. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Manchester United vs Manchester City FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Manchester United vs Manchester City match?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 13 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Manchester United vs Manchester City?

Manchester City is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.16. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.