Match dossier

Malta vs Gibraltar Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Thu, 1 Oct 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Malta

1st in table · 7 pts

LWWWW

Thu, 1 Oct 202619:45

vs

Not startedTip: 1 · 1.30

Gibraltar

2nd in table · 2 pts

WWDDW

Pre-match win probability

74.4%Malta18.1%Draw7.6%Gibraltar

Our prediction

1 · Malta

Malta vs Gibraltar listed tip from the board.

Odds1.30
Confidence76.92%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Malta 74.4%
  • Draw 18.1%
  • Gibraltar 7.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Home Win1Odds 1.3077%Pending
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.3176%Pending
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.4171%Pending
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.2679%Pending
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.9751%Pending
  • Single BetOver 1.5Odds 1.3176%Pending

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MaltaGibraltar
Goals scored (avg)
1.21.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.2
Wins
20
Played
32

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Malta5W 0D 4L in last 9
  • 4 OctMalta1 – 0AndorraW
  • 27 SeptMalta2 – 0LiechtensteinW
  • 24 SeptAndorra1 – 2MaltaW
  • 5 JunAzerbaijan0 – 2MaltaW
  • 1 JunSlovakia2 – 1MaltaL
  • 31 MarLuxembourg3 – 0MaltaL
  • 26 MarMalta0 – 2LuxembourgL
  • 17 NovMalta2 – 3PolandL
  • 14 NovFinland0 – 1MaltaW
Gibraltar3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 5 OctLiechtenstein0 – 2GibraltarW
  • 27 SeptGibraltar0 – 0AndorraD
  • 23 SeptGibraltar0 – 0Sao Tome and PrincipeD
  • 6 JunGibraltar4 – 1Cayman IslandsW
  • 3 JunGibraltar4 – 0British Virgin IslandsW
  • 31 MarLatvia1 – 0GibraltarL
  • 26 MarGibraltar0 – 1LatviaL
  • 17 NovCzechia6 – 0GibraltarL
  • 14 NovGibraltar1 – 2MontenegroL
H2H
Head to headMalta 2W · 0D · Gibraltar 0W · 1.5 goals a game
  • 6 SeptMalta1 – 0Gibraltar
  • 7 OctMalta2 – 0Gibraltar

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Malta1.3
Draw5.35
Gibraltar12.8

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Malta

Chance74.4%
Odds1.3

Draw

Chance18.1%
Odds5.35

Gibraltar

Chance7.6%
Odds12.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.30

MaltaGibraltar
Recent form58%42%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall91%9%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Malta scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Malta conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Malta vs Gibraltar: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Thu, 1 Oct 2026

Malta meet Gibraltar in the World, UEFA Nations League on 1 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Malta at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 74.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Malta vs Gibraltar FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Malta vs Gibraltar match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 1 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Malta vs Gibraltar?

Malta is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 74.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.