Match dossier

Malaga vs Villarreal Predictions

Spain · La Liga · Thu, 17 Sept 2026 · 20:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Spain · La LigaThu, 17 Sept 2026

Malaga

20th in table · 5 pts

DLDWL

Thu, 17 Sept 202620:30

1 : 3

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.28

Villarreal

9th in table · 12 pts

LWWLL

Pre-match win probability

26%Malaga25.2%Draw48.7%Villarreal

Our prediction

X2 · Malaga

Malaga vs Villarreal listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence78.13%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Malaga 26%
  • Draw 25.2%
  • Villarreal 48.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeX2Odds 1.2878%Won
  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.2878%Won
  • corners ouOver 9.5Odds 1.9152%Lost
  • Banker of the DayX2Odds 1.2878%Won
  • Correct Score Tips1-1Odds 7.0014%Lost
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.5067%Won

Season statistics

La Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MalagaVillarreal
Goals scored (avg)
11.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.7
Wins
03
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Malaga1W 4D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctReal Betis2 – 1MalagaL
  • 27 OctAlcazar0 – 3MalagaW
  • 23 OctAlaves1 – 1MalagaD
  • 18 OctMalaga2 – 5Real SociedadL
  • 9 OctMalaga1 – 1EspanyolD
  • 20 SeptGetafe1 – 0MalagaL
  • 13 SeptCelta Vigo1 – 1MalagaD
  • 6 SeptMalaga0 – 0LevanteD
  • 30 AugReal Madrid4 – 0MalagaL
Villarreal4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 3 NovVillarreal0 – 6Paris Saint GermainL
  • 30 OctVillarreal0 – 1EspanyolL
  • 27 OctManacor0 – 5VillarrealW
  • 24 OctValencia1 – 2VillarrealW
  • 20 OctLiverpool4 – 3VillarrealL
  • 17 OctVillarreal0 – 0ElcheD
  • 13 OctVillarreal3 – 1NapoliW
  • 10 OctReal Madrid1 – 0VillarrealL
  • 20 SeptVillarreal3 – 1LevanteW
H2H
Head to headMalaga 2W · 2D · Villarreal 5W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 1 AprMalaga1 – 0Villarreal
  • 5 NovVillarreal2 – 0Malaga
  • 12 FebVillarreal1 – 1Malaga
  • 10 SeptMalaga0 – 2Villarreal
  • 13 FebVillarreal1 – 0Malaga
  • 23 SeptMalaga0 – 1Villarreal
  • 17 MayVillarreal2 – 1Malaga
  • 10 JanMalaga1 – 1Villarreal
  • 21 AprMalaga2 – 0Villarreal

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Malaga3.78
Draw3.9
Villarreal2.02

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Malaga

Chance26%
Odds3.78

Draw

Chance25.2%
Odds3.9

Villarreal

Chance48.7%
Odds2.02

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.28

MalagaVillarreal
Recent form35%65%
Attack36%64%
Defence50%50%
Goals model36%64%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall35%65%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Malaga scored 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Malaga conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · La Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Malaga vs Villarreal: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Thu, 17 Sept 2026

Malaga meet Villarreal in the Spain, La Liga on 17 September 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Villarreal at 2.02. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Malaga vs Villarreal FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Malaga vs Villarreal match?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 17 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Malaga vs Villarreal?

Villarreal is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.02. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.