Match dossier

Malaga vs Real Sociedad Predictions

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · 17:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 18 Oct 2026

Malaga

20th in table · 5 pts

LDDWL

Sun, 18 Oct 202617:30

2 : 5

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.35

Real Sociedad

5th in table · 19 pts

WDWWL

Pre-match win probability

30%Malaga27%Draw43%Real Sociedad

Our prediction

X2 · Malaga

Malaga vs Real Sociedad listed tip from the board.

Odds1.35
Confidence74.07%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Malaga 30%
  • Draw 27%
  • Real Sociedad 43%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.3574%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.5528%Lost
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.9834%Lost
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.6262%Won

Season statistics

La Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MalagaReal Sociedad
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41.6
Wins
06
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Malaga1W 4D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctReal Betis2 – 1MalagaL
  • 27 OctAlcazar0 – 3MalagaW
  • 23 OctAlaves1 – 1MalagaD
  • 9 OctMalaga1 – 1EspanyolD
  • 20 SeptGetafe1 – 0MalagaL
  • 17 SeptMalaga1 – 3VillarrealL
  • 13 SeptCelta Vigo1 – 1MalagaD
  • 6 SeptMalaga0 – 0LevanteD
  • 30 AugReal Madrid4 – 0MalagaL
Real Sociedad4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 1 NovAthletic Club2 – 1Real SociedadL
  • 25 OctReal Sociedad2 – 1LevanteW
  • 22 OctLillestrom0 – 6Real SociedadW
  • 15 OctUnion St. Gilloise1 – 1Real SociedadD
  • 11 OctReal Sociedad3 – 2Deportivo La CorunaW
  • 2 OctReal Sociedad0 – 1Athletic ClubL
  • 20 SeptValencia2 – 3Real SociedadW
  • 17 SeptReal Sociedad1 – 2BournemouthL
  • 13 SeptReal Sociedad0 – 3Atletico MadridL
H2H
Head to headMalaga 4W · 3D · Real Sociedad 2W · 2.2 goals a game
  • 7 JanMalaga0 – 1Real Sociedad
  • 22 AprMalaga2 – 0Real Sociedad
  • 10 DecReal Sociedad0 – 2Malaga
  • 14 MayReal Sociedad2 – 2Malaga
  • 16 JanMalaga0 – 2Real Sociedad
  • 27 FebReal Sociedad1 – 1Malaga
  • 3 OctMalaga3 – 1Real Sociedad
  • 4 AprMalaga1 – 1Real Sociedad
  • 1 NovReal Sociedad0 – 1Malaga

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Malaga3.28
Draw3.64
Real Sociedad2.29

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Malaga

Chance30%
Odds3.28

Draw

Chance27%
Odds3.64

Real Sociedad

Chance43%
Odds2.29

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.35

MalagaReal Sociedad
Recent form35%65%
Attack32%68%
Defence53%47%
Goals model32%68%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall41%59%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Malaga scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Malaga conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · La Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Malaga vs Real Sociedad: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Malaga meet Real Sociedad in the Spain, La Liga on 18 October 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Sociedad at 2.29. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Malaga vs Real Sociedad FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Malaga vs Real Sociedad match?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Malaga vs Real Sociedad?

Real Sociedad is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.29. The margin-adjusted share is about 43%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.