Match dossier

Luxembourg vs Iceland Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Tue, 29 Sept 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Luxembourg

4th in table · 3 pts

LWWLL

Tue, 29 Sept 202619:45

0 : 3

Full timeTip: Over 6.0 · 3.52

Iceland

1st in table · 8 pts

LLDWD

Pre-match win probability

31.3%Luxembourg28.3%Draw40.4%Iceland

Our prediction

Over 6.0 · Luxembourg

Luxembourg vs Iceland listed tip from the board.

Odds3.52
Confidence28.41%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Luxembourg 31.3%
  • Draw 28.3%
  • Iceland 40.4%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • corners ouOver 6.0Odds 3.5228%Lost

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LuxembourgIceland
Goals scored (avg)
0.90.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.6
Wins
12
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Luxembourg4W 0D 5L in last 9
  • 6 OctLuxembourg0 – 2BulgariaL
  • 3 OctEstonia1 – 0LuxembourgL
  • 26 SeptBulgaria1 – 2LuxembourgW
  • 6 JunAlbania0 – 1LuxembourgW
  • 3 JunLuxembourg0 – 1ItalyL
  • 31 MarLuxembourg3 – 0MaltaW
  • 26 MarMalta0 – 2LuxembourgW
  • 17 NovNorthern Ireland1 – 0LuxembourgL
  • 14 NovLuxembourg0 – 2GermanyL
Iceland1W 4D 4L in last 9
  • 6 OctEstonia0 – 0IcelandD
  • 3 OctIceland3 – 0BulgariaW
  • 26 SeptIceland1 – 1EstoniaD
  • 10 JunArgentina3 – 0IcelandL
  • 31 MayJapan1 – 0IcelandL
  • 31 MarHaiti1 – 1IcelandD
  • 28 MarCanada2 – 2IcelandD
  • 26 FebMexico4 – 0IcelandL
  • 16 NovUkraine2 – 0IcelandL
H2H
Head to headLuxembourg 1W · 1D · Iceland 0W · 3 goals a game
  • 13 OctIceland1 – 1Luxembourg
  • 8 SeptLuxembourg3 – 1Iceland

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Luxembourg3.1
Draw3.42
Iceland2.4

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Luxembourg

Chance31.3%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance28.3%
Odds3.42

Iceland

Chance40.4%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 6.0 at 3.52

LuxembourgIceland
Recent form63%37%
Attack53%47%
Defence60%40%
Goals model53%47%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall44%56%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Luxembourg scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Luxembourg conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Luxembourg vs Iceland: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Tue, 29 Sept 2026

Luxembourg meet Iceland in the World, UEFA Nations League on 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Iceland at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Luxembourg vs Iceland FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Luxembourg vs Iceland match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 29 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Luxembourg vs Iceland?

Iceland is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.