Match dossier

Liverpool vs Villarreal Predictions

World · UEFA Champions League · Tue, 20 Oct 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Liverpool

4th in table · 9 pts

WWWDL

Tue, 20 Oct 202620:00

4 : 3

Full timeTip: GG · 1.54

Villarreal

29th in table · 3 pts

DWWLL

Pre-match win probability

64.3%Liverpool20.2%Draw15.5%Villarreal

Our prediction

GG · Liverpool

Liverpool vs Villarreal listed tip from the board.

Odds1.54
Confidence64.94%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Liverpool 64.3%
  • Draw 20.2%
  • Villarreal 15.5%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.5465%Won
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.4370%Won
  • Banker of the DayGGOdds 1.5465%Won
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.8056%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.0449%Lost
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.2878%Won
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.2481%Won
  • free 2 odds1Odds 1.50Won

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LiverpoolVillarreal
Goals scored (avg)
1.71.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.3
Wins
31
Played
34

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Liverpool5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 1 NovLiverpool0 – 1ArsenalL
  • 28 OctLiverpool1 – 1ChelseaD
  • 25 OctLiverpool2 – 0BrightonW
  • 17 OctBrentford1 – 2LiverpoolW
  • 14 OctLask Linz3 – 6LiverpoolW
  • 11 OctLiverpool0 – 3Manchester CityL
  • 20 SeptBournemouth0 – 1LiverpoolW
  • 15 SeptLiverpool3 – 1TottenhamW
  • 12 SeptLiverpool0 – 0FulhamD
Villarreal5W 1D 3L in last 9
  • 3 NovVillarreal0 – 6Paris Saint GermainL
  • 30 OctVillarreal0 – 1EspanyolL
  • 27 OctManacor0 – 5VillarrealW
  • 24 OctValencia1 – 2VillarrealW
  • 17 OctVillarreal0 – 0ElcheD
  • 13 OctVillarreal3 – 1NapoliW
  • 10 OctReal Madrid1 – 0VillarrealL
  • 20 SeptVillarreal3 – 1LevanteW
  • 17 SeptMalaga1 – 3VillarrealW
H2H
Head to headLiverpool 3W · 0D · Villarreal 1W · 2.8 goals a game
  • 3 MayVillarreal2 – 3Liverpool
  • 27 AprLiverpool2 – 0Villarreal
  • 5 MayLiverpool3 – 0Villarreal
  • 28 AprVillarreal1 – 0Liverpool

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Liverpool1.53
Draw4.88
Villarreal6.36

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Liverpool

Chance64.3%
Odds1.53

Draw

Chance20.2%
Odds4.88

Villarreal

Chance15.5%
Odds6.36

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GG at 1.54

LiverpoolVillarreal
Recent form52%48%
Attack49%51%
Defence53%47%
Goals model49%51%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall81%19%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Liverpool scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Liverpool conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Liverpool vs Villarreal: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Tue, 20 Oct 2026

Liverpool meet Villarreal in the World, UEFA Champions League on 20 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Liverpool at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 64.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Liverpool vs Villarreal FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Liverpool vs Villarreal match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 20 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Liverpool vs Villarreal?

Liverpool is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 64.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.