Match dossier

Liverpool vs Manchester City Predictions

England · Premier League · Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 16:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Liverpool

5th in table · 15 pts

WWWDL

Sun, 11 Oct 202616:30

0 : 3

Full timeTip: 2 · 2.36

Manchester City

2nd in table · 21 pts

WWLDL

Pre-match win probability

32.8%Liverpool25.5%Draw41.7%Manchester City

Our prediction

2 · Liverpool

Liverpool vs Manchester City listed tip from the board.

Odds2.36
Confidence42.37%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Liverpool 32.8%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • Manchester City 41.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Away Win2Odds 2.3642%Won
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.6760%Won
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.6262%Won
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.3276%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.2031%Lost

Season statistics

Premier League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LiverpoolManchester City
Goals scored (avg)
2.12.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.7
Wins
47
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Liverpool6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 1 NovLiverpool0 – 1ArsenalL
  • 28 OctLiverpool1 – 1ChelseaD
  • 25 OctLiverpool2 – 0BrightonW
  • 20 OctLiverpool4 – 3VillarrealW
  • 17 OctBrentford1 – 2LiverpoolW
  • 14 OctLask Linz3 – 6LiverpoolW
  • 20 SeptBournemouth0 – 1LiverpoolW
  • 15 SeptLiverpool3 – 1TottenhamW
  • 12 SeptLiverpool0 – 0FulhamD
Manchester City5W 1D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctManchester City0 – 1BrightonL
  • 28 OctManchester City2 – 2BrightonD
  • 24 OctAston Villa2 – 1Manchester CityL
  • 20 OctManchester City5 – 1AEK Athens FCW
  • 17 OctManchester City3 – 2IpswichW
  • 14 OctManchester City2 – 4Paris Saint GermainL
  • 20 SeptManchester City5 – 3SunderlandW
  • 17 SeptManchester City5 – 0NorwichW
  • 13 SeptManchester United0 – 1Manchester CityW
H2H
Head to headLiverpool 2W · 2D · Manchester City 5W · 3.1 goals a game
  • 4 AprManchester City4 – 0Liverpool
  • 8 FebLiverpool1 – 2Manchester City
  • 9 NovManchester City3 – 0Liverpool
  • 23 FebManchester City0 – 2Liverpool
  • 1 DecLiverpool2 – 0Manchester City
  • 10 MarLiverpool1 – 1Manchester City
  • 25 NovManchester City1 – 1Liverpool
  • 1 AprManchester City4 – 1Liverpool
  • 22 DecManchester City3 – 2Liverpool

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Liverpool3
Draw3.86
Manchester City2.36

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Liverpool

Chance32.8%
Odds3

Draw

Chance25.5%
Odds3.86

Manchester City

Chance41.7%
Odds2.36

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 2.36

LiverpoolManchester City
Recent form56%44%
Attack44%56%
Defence59%41%
Goals model44%56%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall44%56%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Liverpool scored 2.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Liverpool conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Liverpool vs Manchester City: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Liverpool meet Manchester City in the England, Premier League on 11 October 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester City at 2.36. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Liverpool vs Manchester City FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Liverpool vs Manchester City match?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Liverpool vs Manchester City?

Manchester City is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.36. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.